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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$REAL

Trade-Ideas alerts 51.3% at 15-min n=78 2022-01-04 → 2026-08-07

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 78 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The RealReal, Inc. Common Stock RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS RETAIL (SIC 5900)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 28, 2019 🔗 www.therealreal.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.08B 👥 Employees: 3,140
The RealReal Inc is an online marketplace for authenticated, resale luxury goods, providing an end-to-end service that unlocks supply and creates a trusted, curated marketplace for buyers globally. Since its inception, the company has cultivated a loyal and engaged consignor and buyer base through continuous investment in its technology platform, logistics infrastructure, brand and people. It offers a wide selection of authenticated, mainly pre-owned luxury goods bearing the brands of thousands of luxury and premium designers, including Cartier, Chanel, Christian Dior, Gucci, Hermes, Louis Vuitton and Rolex. The company offers products across women's fashion, men's fashion, jewelry, and watches, promoting the recirculation of luxury goods and contributing to a more sustainable world.
Total alerts
78
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
51.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.27%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+6.92%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading REAL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.2%
Avg Gain: -0.59%
Avg Winner: +1.97%
Avg Loser: -2.19%
Best: +6.62%
Worst: -12.26%
Trades: 29/47

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +3.51%
Avg Loser: -4.35%
Best: +10.65%
Worst: -13.87%
Trades: 40/37

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +4.37%
Avg Loser: -4.09%
Best: +16.00%
Worst: -13.19%
Trades: 39/39

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +5.73%
Avg Loser: -5.34%
Best: +20.70%
Worst: -15.00%
Trades: 38/40

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.6%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +8.38%
Avg Loser: -6.37%
Best: +28.20%
Worst: -26.81%
Trades: 34/43

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.92%
Best MFE: +28.69%
Avg Time to MFE: 96 min

On average, REAL alerts reach +6.92% profit potential within 96 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.42%
Worst MAE: -10.14%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.85:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.85x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 78 alerts, REAL typically reaches +6.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 78
Gap Up % 21.8%
Avg Gap -0.72%
Best Gap +2.11%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS RETAIL

How REAL compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
REAL: -0.59% Sector: -0.52% -0.06%
EOD Gain
REAL: +0.14% Sector: -0.19% +0.33%
Avg MFE
REAL: +6.92% Sector: +7.40% -0.48%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical REAL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-07 09:25:00 $13.61 -0.22% +0.81% -2.39% -4.41% -9.63% +2.87% +1.76% +0.07% LOSS
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $12.89 +0.16% +0.08% +0.50% -0.50% -1.86% +2.09% -0.85% +0.23% WIN
2026-07-08 09:25:00 $10.81 -1.76% +0.37% -0.28% -2.54% -3.15% +0.83% -1.94% -1.67% LOSS
2026-07-07 09:25:00 $11.55 -1.08% -1.99% -0.39% -1.21% -5.37% +0.17% -2.42% -0.61% LOSS
2026-06-15 09:25:00 $10.6 +1.60% +6.79% +9.65% +5.99% +4.43% +10.57% -0.47% +1.79% WIN
2026-05-11 09:25:00 $10.26 -3.22% -3.02% -3.24% -1.95% -2.83% -0.10% -0.10% -2.44% LOSS
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $10.15 +3.50% +3.05% +0.99% +0.30% +1.08% +12.41% +10.84% +1.08% WIN
2026-02-27 09:25:00 $14.06 -1.64% -8.96% -7.43% -10.99% -12.80% +0.28% -0.14% -0.50% LOSS
2026-02-20 09:25:00 $11.05 -0.32% -0.50% -1.04% -0.36% +0.54% +3.53% -1.54% -1.09% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:55 $8.3 -3.07% -6.87% -7.65% -3.73% -3.25% -0.42% -3.13% -1.20% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:29:27 $7.44 +4.64% +9.95% +16.00% +20.70% +20.43% +24.87% -3.63% -0.40% WIN
2024-12-05 09:27:48 $6.08 +2.14% +2.80% +3.04% +1.97% +0.66% +4.93% +0.66% +1.15% WIN
2024-10-28 09:25:37 $2.89 -3.46% -3.98% -3.63% -3.29% +3.11% +4.50% -6.23% -1.73% LOSS
2024-08-07 09:28:44 $3.1 -12.26% -13.87% -9.31% -14.84% -23.23% -1.29% -1.61% -3.23% LOSS
2024-03-06 09:28:52 $3.87 -1.03% +2.07% -2.62% -12.79% -5.43% +5.94% -5.14% -1.03% LOSS
2024-03-05 09:27:44 $3.18 -0.94% +3.62% +8.17% +9.59% +17.30% +24.84% -3.14% +0.00% LOSS
2024-03-04 09:29:17 $2.74 +1.46% +8.76% +14.05% +16.09% +16.79% +18.24% +0.00% +0.73% WIN
2023-12-22 09:27:00 $2.25 -1.33% +0.00% -0.44% -1.33% -2.67% +1.78% -2.44% -0.89% LOSS
2023-11-15 09:27:00 $2.19 +2.82% +4.57% +4.79% +6.85% +0.46% +8.68% -0.91% -0.91% WIN
2023-11-08 09:29:00 $1.89 +2.38% +2.12% +6.26% +8.20% +5.82% +17.99% -1.59% +1.06% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ REAL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.3% win rate, REAL has -0.27% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making REAL profitable.

🔧 Fix REAL Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze REAL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for REAL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, REAL historically offers an average upside of +6.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 REAL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.3%, REAL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-4.35%) outweigh average wins (+3.51%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: REAL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.27%). This suggests REAL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.