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FANG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-10 → 2024-09-20

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Diamondback Energy, Inc. CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 12, 2012 🔗 www.diamondbackenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $44.13B 👥 Employees: 1,983
Diamondback is a crude oil and natural gas exploration and production firm whose operations represent a pure-play in the US Permian Basin. The company went public in 2012 and has established itself as a top-tier independent producer through disciplined acquisition and operational excellence. The company's most transformational transaction occurred in September 2024 with the completion of its $26 billion merger with Endeavor Energy Resources, which added around 470,000 net acres and doubled Diamondback's total acreage position. Diamondback boasts an enviable position in the Midland sub-basin, with some of the lowest unit costs among its Permian peers.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+1.66%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.61%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 90.0%
Avg Gain: +0.63%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +1.77%
Worst: -0.86%
Trades: 9/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.95%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -0.26%
Best: +2.89%
Worst: -0.32%
Trades: 8/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.96%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: +3.32%
Worst: -0.52%
Trades: 8/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.66%
Avg Winner: +1.66%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.54%
Worst: +0.07%
Trades: 10/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 70.0%
Avg Gain: +0.41%
Avg Winner: +1.80%
Avg Loser: -2.83%
Best: +5.26%
Worst: -3.91%
Trades: 7/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.61%
Best MFE: +6.62%
Avg Time to MFE: 129 min

On average, FANG alerts reach +2.61% profit potential within 129 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.29%
Worst MAE: -1.08%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.85:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.85x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, FANG typically reaches +2.61% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.21%
Best Gap +1.47%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How FANG compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FANG: +0.63% Sector: -0.16% +0.79%
EOD Gain
FANG: +0.41% Sector: +59.69% -59.29%
Avg MFE
FANG: +2.61% Sector: +2.88% -0.28%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FANG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-20 09:25:03 $180.0 -0.86% -0.19% -0.39% +0.07% +0.56% +1.21% -1.08% -0.41% LOSS
2024-02-12 09:25:05 $157.68 +1.77% +2.89% +3.32% +5.54% +5.26% +6.62% +0.58% +1.47% WIN
2023-09-01 09:28:00 $152.76 +0.39% +0.31% +0.32% +0.45% +1.24% +1.61% -0.22% +0.09% WIN
2023-04-03 09:28:00 $143.15 +1.01% +1.52% +0.61% +0.98% +0.89% +1.85% -0.30% -0.04% WIN
2023-01-18 09:26:00 $146.55 +0.48% +0.98% +1.21% +1.91% -1.67% +2.11% -0.08% -0.08% WIN
2023-01-17 09:28:00 $145.26 +0.94% +0.79% +0.45% +0.63% +0.32% +1.39% +0.27% +0.63% WIN
2022-04-29 09:25:00 $130.0 +0.70% +0.80% +0.79% +0.49% -2.90% +1.58% -0.12% -0.12% WIN
2022-04-21 09:25:00 $142.94 +0.60% +0.21% +1.62% +1.76% -3.91% +2.12% -0.46% +0.48% WIN
2022-03-10 09:25:00 $130.68 +0.68% -0.32% -0.52% +0.83% +2.59% +3.00% -1.02% +0.21% WIN
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $128.24 +0.61% +2.55% +2.18% +3.91% +1.70% +4.56% -0.53% -0.12% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on FANG

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FANG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FANG Strategy →

Why Analyze FANG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FANG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FANG historically offers an average upside of +2.61% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FANG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, FANG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FANG performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.66%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.