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Latest signal:

FAS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 57 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-01-15

⚠️ Small sample size (57 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 05, 2008
📊
57
Total Alerts
🎯
52.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.07%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.81%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +2.39%
Worst: -1.87%
Trades: 30/26

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +2.46%
Worst: -4.83%
Trades: 25/32

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: +3.32%
Worst: -4.37%
Trades: 25/32

60MIN

Win Rate: 31.6%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +1.78%
Avg Loser: -1.96%
Best: +3.47%
Worst: -5.52%
Trades: 18/39

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +3.34%
Avg Loser: -3.74%
Best: +17.68%
Worst: -9.74%
Trades: 27/30

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.81%
Best MFE: +18.74%
Avg Time to MFE: 153 min

On average, FAS alerts reach +2.81% profit potential within 153 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.11%
Worst MAE: -5.51%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.11%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.54:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.54x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 57 alerts, FAS typically reaches +2.81% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 57
Gap Up % 42.1%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +1.98%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FAS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-15 09:25:05 $159.23 -0.57% -1.01% +0.03% -0.29% +0.90% +1.52% -2.05% -0.39% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:27:06 $160.67 +0.93% +0.44% -1.33% -0.22% +3.08% +3.56% -1.86% - WIN
2024-04-02 09:28:07 $108.75 +0.64% +0.59% +0.26% +0.41% +0.17% +0.99% +0.24% +0.29% WIN
2023-12-14 09:25:00 $82.1 -0.37% -1.02% -0.41% -0.65% -0.24% +0.91% -1.74% -0.60% LOSS
2023-11-03 09:27:00 $60.25 +0.41% +1.44% +0.58% -0.22% +0.75% +2.00% -0.55% -0.35% WIN
2023-10-13 09:29:00 $59.58 +0.74% +1.09% +1.04% -0.50% -1.95% +2.05% -0.47% -0.47% WIN
2023-08-15 09:26:00 $67.05 - -0.42% -0.69% -1.54% -2.58% +0.60% -0.07% +0.18% -
2023-07-14 09:25:00 $69.6 -1.51% -2.41% -2.53% -3.18% -4.67% +0.11% -0.10% -0.42% LOSS
2023-06-30 09:27:00 $63.27 +0.40% +0.77% +0.64% +0.55% +0.49% +1.77% -0.55% -0.09% WIN
2023-06-02 09:26:00 $57.11 +0.82% +1.28% +1.90% +2.38% +3.48% +4.61% +0.04% +0.04% WIN
2023-05-08 09:25:00 $58.45 +0.36% +0.57% -0.48% -1.23% -1.13% +0.98% -0.12% -0.09% WIN
2023-05-05 09:25:00 $55.8 +0.90% +1.70% +1.20% +2.17% +2.81% +3.46% - +0.82% WIN
2023-05-04 09:28:00 $54.5 +0.72% -1.69% -1.25% -3.80% -1.72% +1.03% -0.44% -0.28% WIN
2023-04-18 09:28:00 $63.87 -0.99% -0.27% -1.19% -1.61% +0.30% +0.81% -2.27% -0.13% LOSS
2023-04-14 09:26:00 $61.57 +0.29% -0.37% +1.46% -0.07% -0.28% +2.00% -0.76% -0.41% WIN
2023-04-12 09:28:00 $59.18 +1.21% +1.32% +0.74% -0.22% -1.71% +1.91% +0.03% +0.19% WIN
2023-04-03 09:26:00 $57.46 +0.77% +0.91% +1.57% +1.81% +0.99% +2.14% -0.03% +0.17% WIN
2023-03-30 09:27:00 $57.45 -0.40% -0.02% -0.44% -1.38% -2.77% +0.17% -0.19% -0.09% LOSS
2023-03-29 09:26:00 $55.5 -0.39% -0.59% -0.29% -0.23% +1.41% +1.64% -1.03% -0.29% LOSS
2023-03-27 09:25:00 $54.72 -0.40% -0.95% -0.86% -1.97% -1.30% +0.22% -1.41% -0.40% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 52.6% Baseline on FAS

The 52.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FAS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FAS Strategy →

Why Analyze FAS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FAS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FAS historically offers an average upside of +2.81% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FAS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.6%, FAS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FAS performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.