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FATE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-01-06 → 2024-11-26

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 01, 2013 🔗 www.fatetherapeutics.com
💰 Market Cap: $139.6M 👥 Employees: 181
Fate Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company based in the United States. It is engaged in the development of programmed cellular immunotherapies for cancer and autoimmune disorders. The company's cell therapy pipeline is comprised of NK- and T-cell immuno-oncology programs, including off-the-shelf engineered product candidates derived from clonal master iPSC lines, and immuno-regulatory programs, including product candidates to prevent life-threatening complications in patients.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+3.92%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+14.54%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +3.69%
Avg Winner: +13.35%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: +29.52%
Worst: -3.51%
Trades: 3/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +3.92%
Avg Winner: +7.61%
Avg Loser: -3.46%
Best: +20.71%
Worst: -7.03%
Trades: 6/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +3.53%
Avg Winner: +7.08%
Avg Loser: -3.57%
Best: +25.99%
Worst: -7.03%
Trades: 6/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +2.21%
Avg Winner: +7.10%
Avg Loser: -3.90%
Best: +23.57%
Worst: -7.26%
Trades: 5/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +2.92%
Avg Winner: +7.04%
Avg Loser: -2.99%
Best: +21.99%
Worst: -3.85%
Trades: 5/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +14.54%
Best MFE: +54.19%
Avg Time to MFE: 133 min

On average, FATE alerts reach +14.54% profit potential within 133 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.95%
Worst MAE: -4.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.95%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

7.47:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 7.47x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, FATE typically reaches +14.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 22.2%
Avg Gap -0.33%
Best Gap +1.48%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How FATE compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FATE: +3.69% Sector: -0.41% +4.10%
EOD Gain
FATE: +2.92% Sector: +1233.50% -1230.59%
Avg MFE
FATE: +14.54% Sector: +6.69% +7.85%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FATE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-26 09:26:17 $2.72 +9.56% +17.46% +6.99% -3.31% -1.47% +21.88% -0.19% - WIN
2024-11-18 09:27:26 $2.27 +29.52% +20.71% +25.99% +23.57% - +54.19% -4.63% -0.44% WIN
2023-02-23 09:28:00 $6.33 -0.55% -1.74% -2.05% -2.84% -3.63% +2.05% +0.63% +0.63% LOSS
2023-02-07 09:26:00 $6.81 - +2.20% +1.98% +0.37% +0.44% +3.96% -2.06% -0.44% -
2023-02-02 09:28:00 $6.8 -2.06% -1.62% -1.62% -2.21% +0.44% +3.24% -3.97% -3.53% LOSS
2023-01-11 09:28:00 $5.41 -0.74% +0.92% +0.74% +2.22% +5.73% +6.84% -1.66% +1.48% LOSS
2023-01-10 09:25:00 $5.15 +0.97% +2.72% +2.72% +1.75% +6.60% +6.60% -1.55% - WIN
2023-01-09 09:26:00 $4.32 - +1.62% +4.05% +7.60% +21.99% +28.94% -0.46% - -
2023-01-06 09:27:00 $4.41 -3.51% -7.03% -7.03% -7.26% -3.85% +3.17% -3.63% -0.68% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on FATE

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FATE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FATE Strategy →

Why Analyze FATE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FATE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FATE historically offers an average upside of +14.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FATE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, FATE shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FATE performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.92%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.