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FCNCA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-27 → 2023-03-27

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

First Citizens BancShares Inc STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6022)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 22, 1986 🔗 www.firstcitizens.com
💰 Market Cap: $24.48B 👥 Employees: 17,475
First Citizens is a US regional bank with total assets of over $230 billion as of Sept. 30, 2025. Headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina, First Citizens' largest markets are North Carolina, South Carolina, and California. The bank has a track record of making troubled bank acquisitions from the FDIC, like the 2023 acquisition of Silicon Valley Bridge Bank, which doubled its asset base. First Citizens offers products and services across retail, commercial, wealth management, and railcar leasing. First Citizens derived over 95% of its earnings from banking and less than 5% from railcar leasing in 2024.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1.77%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.41%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.10%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.10%
Best: -3.10%
Worst: -3.10%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.80%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.80%
Best: -4.80%
Worst: -4.80%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.05%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.05%
Best: -5.05%
Worst: -5.05%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.81%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.81%
Best: -3.81%
Worst: -3.81%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.77%
Avg Winner: +1.77%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.77%
Worst: +1.77%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.41%
Best MFE: +3.41%
Avg Time to MFE: 339 min

On average, FCNCA alerts reach +3.41% profit potential within 339 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.34%
Worst MAE: -6.34%
Avg Time to MAE: 43 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.54:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, FCNCA typically reaches +3.41% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.36%
Best Gap -1.36%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How FCNCA compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FCNCA: -3.10% Sector: -0.03% -3.07%
EOD Gain
FCNCA: +1.77% Sector: -0.04% +1.82%
Avg MFE
FCNCA: +3.41% Sector: +1.25% +2.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FCNCA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-27 09:26:00 $880.0 -3.10% -4.80% -5.05% -3.81% +1.77% +3.41% -6.34% -1.36% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on FCNCA

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FCNCA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FCNCA Strategy →

Why Analyze FCNCA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FCNCA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FCNCA historically offers an average upside of +3.41% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FCNCA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, FCNCA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FCNCA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.77%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.