$FDX
Trade-Ideas alerts 53.2% at 15-min n=62 2022-01-07 → 2026-09-11
⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 62 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading FDX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, FDX alerts reach +1.39% profit potential within 111 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.56%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.48x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 62 alerts, FDX typically reaches +1.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR COURIER SERVICES
How FDX compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical FDX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 09:25:00 | $314.06 | -0.14% | +0.09% | -0.67% | -1.26% | -0.66% | +0.44% | -0.17% | +0.44% | LOSS |
| 2026-08-13 | 09:25:00 | $326.51 | +0.63% | +1.16% | +0.87% | +1.41% | +3.93% | +4.21% | +0.15% | +0.15% | WIN |
| 2026-08-05 | 09:25:00 | $313.5 | -0.76% | -0.74% | -0.34% | -0.70% | -0.89% | +0.07% | -0.76% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2026-07-29 | 09:25:00 | $314.0 | -0.75% | -0.95% | -0.70% | -1.43% | -1.72% | +0.00% | -0.04% | -0.64% | LOSS |
| 2026-06-24 | 09:25:00 | $311.42 | +3.24% | +0.88% | -0.40% | +1.12% | +1.74% | +3.94% | -1.42% | +1.08% | WIN |
| 2026-05-22 | 09:25:00 | $392.0 | +0.00% | +0.33% | +0.92% | +0.15% | +0.56% | +1.73% | +0.00% | +0.49% | LOSS |
| 2026-05-06 | 09:25:00 | $363.5 | +1.14% | +1.84% | +1.96% | +3.23% | +3.77% | +4.06% | -0.14% | +0.28% | WIN |
| 2026-03-30 | 09:25:00 | $347.0 | +0.26% | -0.73% | -0.58% | -0.35% | -1.51% | +0.26% | -0.87% | +0.25% | WIN |
| 2026-03-27 | 09:25:00 | $348.99 | -0.37% | -0.18% | -0.56% | -0.36% | -1.44% | +0.01% | -0.91% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2026-03-23 | 09:25:00 | $364.42 | +0.52% | +0.12% | +0.28% | +0.68% | -2.37% | +1.50% | -0.06% | +0.16% | WIN |
| 2026-03-12 | 09:25:00 | $357.38 | -0.10% | -0.43% | -0.28% | -0.13% | -1.19% | +0.63% | -0.82% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2026-02-05 | 09:25:00 | $355.0 | +2.16% | +1.07% | +2.47% | +2.25% | +2.52% | +3.23% | +0.63% | +1.97% | WIN |
| 2024-12-20 | 09:25:13 | $297.56 | -2.58% | -4.55% | -5.42% | -7.38% | -7.34% | +0.48% | -0.52% | -1.20% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-20 | 09:28:41 | $260.4 | -0.10% | -1.24% | -1.66% | -1.78% | -2.21% | +0.83% | -0.53% | +0.14% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-26 | 09:25:26 | $289.3 | +1.19% | +0.10% | -0.59% | +1.09% | +2.38% | +2.61% | -1.83% | -0.30% | WIN |
| 2024-04-01 | 09:27:47 | $284.35 | +0.82% | +0.25% | +0.24% | -0.06% | -1.48% | +0.96% | -0.30% | -0.04% | WIN |
| 2024-03-22 | 09:25:41 | $290.3 | -1.34% | -0.95% | -1.80% | -0.89% | -2.06% | +0.33% | -1.48% | -1.48% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-01 | 09:26:44 | $248.25 | +0.04% | -0.28% | -0.34% | -0.07% | -0.66% | +0.37% | -0.55% | -0.08% | WIN |
| 2024-02-14 | 09:28:36 | $237.68 | -0.55% | -0.50% | -0.37% | -0.43% | -0.36% | +0.01% | -0.12% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-21 | 09:29:00 | $248.2 | -0.31% | -0.48% | -1.03% | -0.55% | -0.34% | +0.22% | -0.17% | -0.04% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ FDX Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 53.2% win rate, FDX has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making FDX profitable.
🔧 Fix FDX Risk / Reward →Why Analyze FDX with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FDX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, FDX historically offers an average upside of +1.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 FDX Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 53.2%, FDX shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.99%) outweigh average wins (+0.85%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: FDX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.01%). This suggests FDX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.