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FFIN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-12-15 → 2023-12-15

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

First Financial Bankshares Inc STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6022)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 01, 1993 🔗 www.ffin.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.69B 👥 Employees: 1,500
First Financial Bankshares Inc is a financial and bank holding company. The company operates one line of business (community banking) located in a single geographic area (Texas). The company conducts a full-service commercial banking business through its subsidiaries. The loan portfolio segments of the company include Commercial and Industrial, Municipal, Agricultural, Construction and Development, Farm, Non-Owner Occupied and Owner Occupied Commercial Real Estate, Residential, Consumer Auto and Consumer Non-Auto. It derives maximum revenue from Construction and Development Segment.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-4.52%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
-3.86%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.52%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.52%
Best: -4.52%
Worst: -4.52%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.72%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.72%
Best: -4.72%
Worst: -4.72%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.72%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.72%
Best: -4.72%
Worst: -4.72%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.41%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.41%
Best: -4.41%
Worst: -4.41%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.91%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.91%
Best: -5.91%
Worst: -5.91%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: -3.86%
Best MFE: -3.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, FFIN alerts reach -3.86% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.50%
Worst MAE: -5.50%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.50%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.7:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, FFIN typically reaches -3.86% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around -3.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -3.94%
Best Gap -3.94%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How FFIN compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FFIN: -4.52% Sector: -0.03% -4.49%
EOD Gain
FFIN: -5.91% Sector: -0.04% -5.87%
Avg MFE
FFIN: -3.86% Sector: +1.25% -5.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FFIN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-15 09:28:00 $31.98 -4.52% -4.72% -4.72% -4.41% -5.91% -3.86% -5.50% -3.94% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ FFIN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -4.52% average gain, FFIN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider FFIN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze FFIN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FFIN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FFIN historically offers an average upside of -3.86% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FFIN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, FFIN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests FFIN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: FFIN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -4.52%). This suggests FFIN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.