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FMC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 13 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-19 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (13 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 29, 1986 🔗 www.fmc.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.03B 👥 Employees: 5,700
FMC is a pure-play global crop protection company with a fairly balanced product portfolio across geographies and crop exposure. Through acquisitions, FMC is now one of the five largest patented crop protection companies and focuses on the development of new products, including biologicals, through its research and development pipeline.
📊
13
Total Alerts
🎯
53.8%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.73%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.78%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.17%
Avg Loser: -1.15%
Best: +2.03%
Worst: -3.93%
Trades: 5/8

15MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: +0.98%
Avg Winner: +4.14%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +8.28%
Worst: -3.47%
Trades: 5/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +0.73%
Avg Winner: +2.31%
Avg Loser: -1.10%
Best: +7.45%
Worst: -3.23%
Trades: 7/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: +0.70%
Avg Winner: +3.00%
Avg Loser: -1.27%
Best: +9.90%
Worst: -3.04%
Trades: 6/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +3.67%
Avg Loser: -1.98%
Best: +12.22%
Worst: -3.72%
Trades: 5/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.78%
Best MFE: +15.66%
Avg Time to MFE: 90 min

On average, FMC alerts reach +2.78% profit potential within 90 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.25%
Worst MAE: -5.32%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.25%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.23:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.23x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, FMC typically reaches +2.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 30.8%
Avg Gap -0.34%
Best Gap +1.12%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS

How FMC compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FMC: -0.26% Sector: +0.64% -0.89%
EOD Gain
FMC: +0.19% Sector: +0.31% -0.12%
Avg MFE
FMC: +2.78% Sector: +3.90% -1.12%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FMC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:26:51 $36.49 -1.48% -0.25% +0.36% +0.15% -2.27% +1.32% -1.56% -0.26% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:01 $35.91 -3.93% -3.47% -3.23% -0.76% +0.03% +2.78% -5.32% +0.03% LOSS
2024-02-06 09:28:28 $52.8 +2.03% +8.07% +3.92% +3.31% +1.23% +8.58% -1.52% -1.33% WIN
2023-10-23 09:27:00 $51.79 -1.03% +8.28% +7.45% +9.90% +12.22% +15.66% -4.04% -3.15% LOSS
2023-09-20 09:26:00 $72.5 -0.36% +0.17% +0.17% -0.08% -2.10% +0.69% +0.10% +0.69% LOSS
2023-09-05 09:28:00 $85.49 -0.57% -0.40% -0.48% -1.53% -3.36% -0.19% -0.95% -0.19% LOSS
2023-08-07 09:28:00 $91.51 +0.66% -0.07% -0.08% +0.52% -0.50% +0.80% -0.04% -0.04% WIN
2023-07-21 09:28:00 $95.64 -0.58% -0.13% -0.45% -0.21% -0.50% +0.22% -0.86% -0.14% LOSS
2023-07-10 09:27:00 $96.21 +0.75% -1.24% +0.09% -3.04% -3.72% +1.47% -0.19% -0.18% WIN
2023-06-20 09:25:00 $106.77 -0.52% -1.65% -1.03% -1.77% -1.40% -0.30% -1.95% -1.01% LOSS
2023-05-16 09:29:00 $110.5 -0.74% -0.81% -1.35% -1.52% -1.99% -0.74% -1.43% -0.93% LOSS
2023-05-05 09:26:00 $111.89 +1.25% +1.50% +1.54% +1.25% +1.43% +2.06% +0.60% +1.12% WIN
2022-07-19 09:25:00 $100.37 +1.19% +2.66% +2.64% +2.86% +3.42% +3.80% +0.93% +0.97% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.8% Baseline on FMC

The 53.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FMC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FMC Strategy →

Why Analyze FMC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FMC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FMC historically offers an average upside of +2.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FMC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.8%, FMC shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FMC performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.73%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.