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FMNB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-31 → 2022-05-31

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Farmers National Banc Corp STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6022)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 04, 1999 🔗 www.farmersbankgroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $512.1M 👥 Employees: 682
Farmers National Banc Corp is a one-bank holding company engaged in financial activities, including securities underwriting and dealing, insurance agency and underwriting activities, and merchant banking activities. It operates in the domestic banking, trust, retirement consulting, insurance, and financial management industries. The company has two operating segments of business; the Bank segment, and the Trust segment, out of which the majority of the company's revenue is derived from the bank segment.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.19%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.52%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.26%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.26%
Best: -1.26%
Worst: -1.26%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.84%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: -0.84%
Worst: -0.84%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.06%
Best: -0.06%
Worst: -0.06%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.65%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: -0.65%
Worst: -0.65%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.19%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.19%
Worst: +0.19%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.52%
Best MFE: +0.52%
Avg Time to MFE: 388 min

On average, FMNB alerts reach +0.52% profit potential within 388 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.42%
Worst MAE: -1.42%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.36:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, FMNB typically reaches +0.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.42%
Best Gap -1.42%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How FMNB compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FMNB: -1.26% Sector: -0.03% -1.23%
EOD Gain
FMNB: +0.19% Sector: -0.04% +0.24%
Avg MFE
FMNB: +0.52% Sector: +1.25% -0.74%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FMNB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-05-31 09:25:00 $15.5 -1.26% -0.84% -0.06% -0.65% +0.19% +0.52% -1.42% -1.42% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on FMNB

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FMNB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FMNB Strategy →

Why Analyze FMNB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FMNB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FMNB historically offers an average upside of +0.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FMNB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, FMNB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FMNB performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.