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FNKO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-04 → 2023-03-02

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 02, 2017 🔗 www.funko.com
💰 Market Cap: $233.2M 👥 Employees: 1,085
Funko Inc is an USA based pop culture consumer products company. It creates whimsical, fun, and different products that enable the customer to express their affinity for their favorite through the movie, TV show, video game, musician, or sports team. The company's current products are principally figures, fashion accessories, apparel, plush products, accessories, homewares, and NFTs. The company sells its products through a diverse network of retail customers across multiple retail channels, including specialty retailers, mass-market retailers, and e-commerce sites. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the core collectibles products.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+1.18%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+16.89%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -2.27%
Avg Winner: +3.67%
Avg Loser: -6.24%
Best: +5.33%
Worst: -12.70%
Trades: 2/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -1.91%
Avg Winner: +8.95%
Avg Loser: -9.15%
Best: +14.11%
Worst: -22.75%
Trades: 2/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +1.18%
Avg Winner: +8.36%
Avg Loser: -9.59%
Best: +19.84%
Worst: -17.38%
Trades: 3/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +5.60%
Avg Winner: +14.66%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +21.37%
Worst: -0.60%
Trades: 2/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +7.97%
Avg Winner: +22.27%
Avg Loser: -13.46%
Best: +32.36%
Worst: -22.66%
Trades: 3/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +16.89%
Best MFE: +35.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 198 min

On average, FNKO alerts reach +16.89% profit potential within 198 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.76%
Worst MAE: -6.78%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.76%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

9.58:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 9.58x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, FNKO typically reaches +16.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 13.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 60.0%
Avg Gap -0.30%
Best Gap +0.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GAMES, TOYS & CHILDREN'S VEHICLES (NO DOLLS & BICYCLES)

How FNKO compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FNKO: -2.27% Sector: -0.34% -1.94%
EOD Gain
FNKO: +7.97% Sector: +1.40% +6.58%
Avg MFE
FNKO: +16.89% Sector: +5.51% +11.38%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FNKO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-02 09:28:00 $7.51 +5.33% +14.11% +19.84% +21.37% +32.36% +35.29% -4.93% +0.27% WIN
2022-11-07 09:25:00 $7.92 -0.88% +3.79% +4.31% +7.95% +28.66% +28.91% -4.04% -0.76% LOSS
2022-11-04 09:25:00 $10.24 -12.70% -22.75% -17.38% -0.60% -22.66% +10.83% +7.52% -1.37% LOSS
2022-05-06 09:25:00 $20.06 -5.13% -2.97% -1.79% -0.22% +5.78% +7.08% -6.78% +0.10% LOSS
2022-03-04 09:25:00 $20.37 +2.01% -1.74% +0.93% -0.48% -4.27% +2.36% -0.59% +0.25% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on FNKO

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FNKO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FNKO Strategy →

Why Analyze FNKO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FNKO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FNKO historically offers an average upside of +16.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FNKO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, FNKO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FNKO performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.18%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.