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FOA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-04-06 → 2023-04-10

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Finance of America Companies Inc. MORTGAGE BANKERS & LOAN CORRESPONDENTS (SIC 6162)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 05, 2021 🔗 www.financeofamerica.com
💰 Market Cap: $182.8M 👥 Employees: 747
Finance of America Companies Inc is a financial services holding company that, through its operating subsidiaries, is a modern retirement solutions platform that provides customers with access to a range of retirement offerings centered on the home. In addition, FoA offers capital markets and portfolio management capabilities to optimize the distribution of its originated loans to investors. It operates through two segments: Retirement Solutions and Portfolio Management. It generates the majority of its revenue from Retirement Solutions.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+1.92%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+17.20%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +2.02%
Avg Loser: -2.61%
Best: +2.02%
Worst: -2.61%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +5.35%
Avg Winner: +11.24%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +11.24%
Worst: -0.53%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +11.04%
Avg Winner: +24.72%
Avg Loser: -2.64%
Best: +24.72%
Worst: -2.64%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.92%
Avg Winner: +1.92%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.25%
Worst: +1.60%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +494.79%
Avg Winner: +494.79%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +984.27%
Worst: +5.32%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +17.20%
Best MFE: +26.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, FOA alerts reach +17.20% profit potential within 125 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.63%
Worst MAE: -5.32%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.63%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.72:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.72x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, FOA typically reaches +17.20% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 13.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.59%
Best Gap +1.06%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MORTGAGE BANKERS & LOAN CORRESPONDENTS

How FOA compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FOA: -0.29% Sector: -0.15% -0.15%
EOD Gain
FOA: +494.79% Sector: +23.70% +471.09%
Avg MFE
FOA: +17.20% Sector: +5.15% +12.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FOA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-04-10 09:28:00 $1.88 -2.61% -0.53% -2.64% +1.60% +5.32% +7.98% -5.32% +1.06% LOSS
2023-04-06 09:25:00 $1.78 +2.02% +11.24% +24.72% +2.25% +984.27% +26.42% -3.93% -2.25% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on FOA

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FOA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FOA Strategy →

Why Analyze FOA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FOA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FOA historically offers an average upside of +17.20% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FOA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, FOA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FOA performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.92%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.