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FORD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-08-06 β†’ 2024-10-04

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏒 Company Profile

Forward Industries Inc-N Y PLASTICS PRODUCTS, NEC (SIC 3089)
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Mar 07, 1995 πŸ”— www.forwardindustries.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $28.1M πŸ‘₯ Employees: 100
Forward Industries Inc is a provider of carrying and protective solutions. The company designs and distributes product protection for handheld electronic devices. Forward Industries sells soft-sided carrying cases for blood glucose diagnostic kits and portable consumer electronic devices such as tablets, personal computers, barcode Scanners, GPSΒ devices, and others. The company operates in two segments, the OEM distribution segment sources and distributes carrying cases and other accessories for medical monitoring and diagnostic kits and a variety of other portable electronic and non-electronic devices directly to OEMs; The design segment, provides a full spectrum of hardware and software product design and engineering services. The majority of revenue is generated from the Design segment.
πŸ“Š
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
πŸ’°
+3.02%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
πŸš€
+13.10%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -6.18%
Avg Winner: +0.40%
Avg Loser: -12.76%
Best: +0.40%
Worst: -12.76%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -7.95%
Avg Winner: +5.63%
Avg Loser: -21.52%
Best: +5.63%
Worst: -21.52%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.02%
Avg Winner: +3.02%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.02%
Worst: +3.02%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -3.38%
Avg Winner: +9.05%
Avg Loser: -15.81%
Best: +9.05%
Worst: -15.81%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -6.07%
Avg Winner: +8.25%
Avg Loser: -20.38%
Best: +8.25%
Worst: -20.38%
Trades: 1/1

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +13.10%
Best MFE: +23.34%
Avg Time to MFE: 20 min

On average, FORD alerts reach +13.10% profit potential within 20 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.73%
Worst MAE: -9.46%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.73%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.77:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.77x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, FORD typically reaches +13.10% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 10.5% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -1.42%
Best Gap +0.57%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PLASTICS PRODUCTS, NEC

How FORD compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FORD: +0.40% Sector: +0.57% -0.16%
EOD Gain
FORD: +8.25% Sector: -0.48% +8.73%
Avg MFE
FORD: +23.34% Sector: +7.52% +15.82%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical FORD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-04 09:25:08 $4.97 +0.40% +5.63% +3.02% +9.05% +8.25% +23.34% -9.46% -3.42% WIN
2024-08-06 09:29:21 $5.25 -12.76% -21.52% - -15.81% -20.38% +2.86% - +0.57% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

πŸš€ Beat the 100.0% Baseline on FORD

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FORD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FORD Strategy β†’

Why Analyze FORD with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FORD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FORD historically offers an average upside of +13.10% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š FORD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, FORD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FORD performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.