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FOXF Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-03 → 2024-02-23

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock MOTORCYCLES, BICYCLES & PARTS (SIC 3751)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 08, 2013 🔗 www.ridefox.com
💰 Market Cap: $797.6M 👥 Employees: 4,100
Fox Factory Holding Corp is a designer, manufacturer, and marketer of performance-defining products and systems used predominantly on bikes, Side-by-Sides, on-road vehicles with and without off-road capabilities, off-road vehicles and trucks, ATVs, snowmobiles, specialty vehicles and applications, motorcycles, and commercial trucks. Its business operates under the FOX, FOX RACING SHOX, and RACE FACE brands. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from North America and also has a presence in Asia, Europe, and the Rest of the World.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.22%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.62%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.83%
Avg Loser: -1.39%
Best: +1.83%
Worst: -1.39%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -2.20%
Avg Winner: +0.04%
Avg Loser: -4.45%
Best: +0.04%
Worst: -4.45%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.14%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.14%
Best: -0.87%
Worst: -5.42%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.61%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.61%
Best: -0.14%
Worst: -5.08%
Trades: 0/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.42%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: -0.94%
Worst: -1.91%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.62%
Best MFE: +2.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 14 min

On average, FOXF alerts reach +1.62% profit potential within 14 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.58%
Worst MAE: -5.77%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.58%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.45:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, FOXF typically reaches +1.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -2.04%
Best Gap -1.39%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTORCYCLES, BICYCLES & PARTS

How FOXF compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FOXF: +0.22% Sector: +0.61% -0.39%
EOD Gain
FOXF: -1.42% Sector: +0.30% -1.72%
Avg MFE
FOXF: +1.62% Sector: +4.09% -2.46%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FOXF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-02-23 09:27:34 $48.0 +1.83% -4.45% -5.42% -5.08% -0.94% +2.33% -5.77% -2.69% WIN
2022-02-03 09:25:00 $128.85 -1.39% +0.04% -0.87% -0.14% -1.91% +0.92% -1.39% -1.39% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on FOXF

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FOXF's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FOXF Strategy →

Why Analyze FOXF with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FOXF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FOXF historically offers an average upside of +1.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FOXF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, FOXF shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FOXF performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.22%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.