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FSLY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 55 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-16 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (55 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 17, 2019 🔗 www.fastly.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.39B 👥 Employees: 1,100
Fastly operates a content delivery network, which is necessary for entities to provide faster and more reliable online content. Fastly's strategy differs from traditional CDNs, which focus on locating servers in as many locations as possible to store copies of files that consumers most use. Fastly is in far fewer sites than traditional CDNs, but it houses servers in the most network-dense data centers. Instead of simply storing static content, it allows its customers to program on its platform, enabling edge computing and better service of the more dynamic content that was traditionally not well served by CDNs. Fastly gears its service to the largest, most sophisticated enterprises rather than small companies and generated nearly three fourths of its revenue in the United States in 2024.
📊
55
Total Alerts
🎯
54.5%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.23%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -1.59%
Best: +5.60%
Worst: -5.27%
Trades: 30/24

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +2.23%
Avg Loser: -2.15%
Best: +8.20%
Worst: -6.16%
Trades: 28/26

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.3%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.93%
Avg Loser: -2.73%
Best: +12.42%
Worst: -8.23%
Trades: 26/27

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.6%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +3.24%
Avg Loser: -3.34%
Best: +14.63%
Worst: -9.06%
Trades: 24/30

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.3%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +5.06%
Avg Loser: -4.64%
Best: +18.70%
Worst: -10.47%
Trades: 26/29

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.63%
Best MFE: +26.98%
Avg Time to MFE: 116 min

On average, FSLY alerts reach +4.63% profit potential within 116 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.26%
Worst MAE: -5.99%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.26%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.68:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.68x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 55 alerts, FSLY typically reaches +4.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 55
Gap Up % 56.4%
Avg Gap +0.31%
Best Gap +2.58%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How FSLY compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FSLY: +0.23% Sector: -0.09% +0.33%
EOD Gain
FSLY: -0.05% Sector: +73.64% -73.69%
Avg MFE
FSLY: +4.63% Sector: +4.32% +0.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FSLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:29:27 $7.93 -3.47% -0.12% -4.10% -4.92% +0.50% +3.15% -5.99% -0.38% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:28:56 $9.83 -3.89% -5.90% -6.10% -6.26% -4.48% +0.20% -2.75% -2.65% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:28:57 $9.11 +5.60% +6.04% +11.42% +11.86% +8.34% +13.28% -0.11% +1.21% WIN
2024-11-18 09:29:47 $6.27 +2.64% +2.09% +1.99% +1.11% +0.96% +3.19% -0.32% +0.16% WIN
2024-11-06 09:26:29 $7.95 +2.08% +0.88% +0.25% +0.38% +2.64% +4.53% -1.20% +0.50% WIN
2024-08-16 09:28:24 $6.2 -0.16% +1.29% +2.74% +2.98% +4.03% +5.00% -0.56% +1.61% LOSS
2024-08-08 09:29:46 $5.63 +2.22% +2.75% +1.88% +1.51% +4.09% +7.64% -1.95% -0.89% WIN
2024-05-16 09:29:19 $8.8 +0.91% - +0.23% +0.11% +1.02% +1.93% -0.68% +0.45% WIN
2024-05-03 09:26:58 $8.97 -1.34% -3.23% -3.85% -6.24% -5.46% +0.33% -0.56% - LOSS
2024-05-02 09:28:04 $8.07 -2.51% +1.11% +3.28% +2.97% +8.92% +9.17% -2.97% +0.99% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:29:41 $13.63 -1.25% -0.95% -0.66% +0.40% +1.69% +2.05% -2.05% -1.32% LOSS
2024-04-08 09:27:51 $13.15 +2.43% +1.98% +0.84% +1.48% +2.74% +3.80% +0.08% +2.28% WIN
2024-02-26 09:28:20 $13.84 +0.92% +1.60% +1.88% +2.89% +2.60% +4.70% -0.51% +0.79% WIN
2024-02-21 09:25:35 $14.68 +1.98% +0.34% +1.70% -0.20% -1.63% +2.38% -0.34% -0.07% WIN
2024-02-20 09:29:48 $15.6 -1.09% -1.40% -3.69% -4.36% -4.87% +1.28% -0.77% - LOSS
2024-02-16 09:29:38 $16.07 +0.50% +0.12% -1.68% -3.24% -1.68% +1.67% -1.18% +0.12% WIN
2024-02-15 09:27:50 $18.25 -0.82% -6.16% -8.23% -8.88% -10.47% +0.93% -1.92% -0.99% LOSS
2024-02-13 09:25:52 $23.5 -1.53% -0.72% -0.77% -0.17% -2.55% +1.87% -3.91% -2.26% LOSS
2024-02-09 09:29:33 $24.17 +3.02% +1.86% +1.47% +1.24% +0.37% +3.27% -0.21% -0.08% WIN
2023-11-16 09:26:00 $16.9 -5.27% -3.99% -3.67% -5.65% -3.85% +1.01% -1.83% -1.66% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.5% Baseline on FSLY

The 54.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FSLY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FSLY Strategy →

Why Analyze FSLY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FSLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FSLY historically offers an average upside of +4.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FSLY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.5%, FSLY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FSLY performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.23%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.