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FSM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 102 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2024-11-06

🏢 Company Profile

Fortuna Mining Corp.
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 17, 1992 🔗 www.fortunamining.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.50B 👥 Employees: 2,327
Fortuna Mining Corp is a Canadian-based precious metals mining company with mines in the Latin America and West Africa regions producing gold and silver. It operate mines in Argentina, Burkina Faso, Cote d'Ivoire, Mexico, and Peru. The company's segment consists of Mansfield, Sanu, Sango, Cuzcatlan, Bateas, Corporate. The company generates the majority of its revenue from Sango segment which operates the Seguela gold mine. Geographically, the company generates the majority of its revenue from Cote d'Ivoire location.
📊
102
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.31%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.85%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.2%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +3.73%
Worst: -6.94%
Trades: 41/59

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.51%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +4.93%
Worst: -7.33%
Trades: 48/51

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.92%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +5.92%
Worst: -7.60%
Trades: 48/50

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +2.22%
Avg Loser: -1.67%
Best: +6.26%
Worst: -7.41%
Trades: 51/49

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.1%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +2.93%
Avg Loser: -2.62%
Best: +12.56%
Worst: -9.66%
Trades: 47/47

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.85%
Best MFE: +13.18%
Avg Time to MFE: 99 min

On average, FSM alerts reach +2.85% profit potential within 99 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.26%
Worst MAE: -6.25%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.26%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.27:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.27x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 102 alerts, FSM typically reaches +2.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 102
Gap Up % 34.3%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap +2.63%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FSM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-06 09:29:22 $4.45 +1.80% +4.61% +4.27% +5.51% +5.17% +6.40% - +1.12% WIN
2024-11-01 09:29:48 $5.05 -0.49% -0.09% -0.39% -0.40% -2.97% +0.59% -1.09% -0.40% LOSS
2024-10-21 09:26:02 $5.34 -0.05% -1.59% -1.03% -1.88% -1.12% +1.31% -0.37% +0.19% LOSS
2024-10-11 09:26:19 $4.75 +0.84% +2.21% +2.62% +2.00% - +2.95% -0.63% -0.63% WIN
2024-10-07 09:26:03 $4.65 -0.54% -0.54% -1.74% -2.47% -4.30% +0.54% -0.65% -0.22% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:29:14 $5.05 -0.10% -0.69% -0.40% -0.40% +0.40% +1.98% -1.19% +0.59% LOSS
2024-09-19 09:29:11 $4.96 -1.02% -2.62% -1.30% -1.51% -2.22% +1.01% +0.40% +0.81% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:28:18 $3.96 -0.13% -0.51% +0.38% +1.72% +5.30% +5.81% -2.53% +0.51% LOSS
2024-07-03 09:25:16 $5.06 +0.59% +0.99% +0.99% +1.38% -0.20% +1.98% -0.79% -0.40% WIN
2024-06-06 09:25:09 $5.1 +1.67% - +0.98% +0.29% +3.73% +5.29% -1.18% +0.20% WIN
2024-06-05 09:28:25 $5.33 -6.94% -7.04% -7.60% -5.64% -4.88% +0.19% -0.75% -0.38% LOSS
2024-05-28 09:28:10 $6.3 -0.32% -0.16% -1.43% -0.56% -0.63% +0.95% -0.63% +0.48% LOSS
2024-05-20 09:27:49 $5.96 -1.26% -2.18% -1.43% -1.34% -0.67% +0.50% -3.35% -0.50% LOSS
2024-05-17 09:28:00 $5.5 +1.82% +1.91% +3.55% +3.46% +6.18% +6.18% -0.36% - WIN
2024-05-15 09:26:56 $5.27 +1.52% +0.28% -0.47% -0.19% +1.52% +2.66% -0.95% +1.14% WIN
2024-05-07 09:28:21 $4.99 -1.80% -2.00% -1.80% -2.00% -1.00% -0.80% -3.01% -2.00% LOSS
2024-04-30 09:26:29 $4.52 +1.33% +1.99% +2.32% +2.32% +0.44% +3.10% -1.11% +0.44% WIN
2024-04-12 09:25:52 $4.93 -0.81% -1.32% -0.41% -1.32% -6.49% +0.20% -1.83% -0.61% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:26:54 $4.67 -2.46% -1.28% +0.11% +2.14% +1.50% +3.21% -5.14% -2.14% LOSS
2024-04-08 09:28:14 $4.79 +0.10% -1.15% -2.51% -2.13% -2.30% +2.19% - +0.21% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on FSM

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FSM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FSM Strategy →

Why Analyze FSM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FSM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FSM historically offers an average upside of +2.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FSM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, FSM shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FSM performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.31%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.