Latest signal:
FTCH Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 218 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2023-12-18
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, FTCH alerts reach +4.52% profit potential within 112 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.78%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 217 alerts, FTCH typically reaches +4.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical FTCH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-18 | 09:28:00 | $0.42 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 2023-12-15 | 09:26:00 | $0.75 | - | -6.59% | -5.74% | -7.81% | -14.30% | +1.59% | - | +1.20% | - |
| 2023-12-14 | 09:27:00 | $0.74 | +3.91% | +3.94% | -6.57% | -8.41% | - | +7.46% | -0.01% | -0.01% | WIN |
| 2023-12-13 | 09:29:00 | $0.59 | -4.86% | -0.62% | +3.28% | +15.46% | +24.12% | +30.71% | -10.71% | +0.52% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-12 | 09:29:00 | $0.84 | -10.36% | -11.46% | -12.24% | -17.08% | -25.69% | +0.82% | -0.87% | -0.20% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-11 | 09:28:00 | $1.19 | -2.55% | -5.04% | -7.56% | -9.35% | -38.62% | +0.84% | - | -0.84% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-08 | 09:25:00 | $1.15 | -1.30% | +1.70% | +1.30% | +4.31% | +6.96% | +9.57% | -1.74% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-12-07 | 09:25:00 | $1.19 | -0.42% | +0.01% | +1.68% | +2.10% | -1.68% | +4.20% | -0.84% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-12-06 | 09:28:00 | $1.11 | -0.94% | - | +4.05% | +6.76% | +8.11% | +11.71% | -3.59% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-12-05 | 09:25:00 | $1.29 | -3.10% | -1.94% | -0.39% | -3.49% | -8.53% | +0.78% | - | -0.78% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-04 | 09:28:00 | $1.24 | -1.21% | +6.49% | +5.69% | +4.04% | +4.03% | +10.48% | -2.42% | +0.81% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-01 | 09:27:00 | $1.22 | - | -2.96% | -3.69% | +1.64% | +4.92% | +8.20% | -6.56% | +0.82% | - |
| 2023-11-30 | 09:25:00 | $1.06 | +2.08% | +6.56% | +3.77% | +2.36% | +10.38% | +14.15% | -2.83% | +0.94% | WIN |
| 2023-11-29 | 09:25:00 | $1.7 | -31.21% | -25.18% | -23.24% | -29.12% | -42.86% | +2.29% | -11.76% | -23.53% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-28 | 09:29:00 | $1.73 | +0.29% | -1.73% | -2.31% | -4.05% | +21.39% | +29.48% | -5.78% | -2.31% | WIN |
| 2023-11-27 | 09:27:00 | $1.75 | +2.57% | -0.15% | - | +2.29% | -2.29% | +4.00% | -0.57% | -0.57% | WIN |
| 2023-11-20 | 09:26:00 | $1.71 | -2.40% | -2.34% | +0.63% | +1.17% | +4.68% | +5.26% | -4.68% | -2.34% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-17 | 09:28:00 | $1.73 | +1.15% | +1.16% | +1.45% | +1.16% | -4.05% | +2.89% | -1.45% | +0.58% | WIN |
| 2023-11-16 | 09:25:00 | $1.78 | -1.40% | -3.34% | -4.55% | -5.06% | -2.81% | - | - | -1.69% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-15 | 09:27:00 | $1.55 | +7.74% | +10.32% | +11.29% | +15.16% | +17.42% | +21.29% | -0.65% | - | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ FTCH Shows Negative Expectancy
With 46.5% win rate and -0.35% average gain, FTCH alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider FTCH for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze FTCH with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FTCH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, FTCH historically offers an average upside of +4.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 FTCH Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 46.5%, FTCH shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests FTCH may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: FTCH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.35%). This suggests FTCH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.