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FTNT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 67 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-28 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (67 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 18, 2009 🔗 www.fortinet.com
💰 Market Cap: $60.71B 👥 Employees: 15,015
Fortinet is a platform-based cybersecurity vendor with product offerings covering network security, cloud security, zero-trust access, and security operations. The firm derives a majority of its revenue through sales of its subscriptions and support-based business. The California-based firm has more than 800,000 customers across the world.
📊
67
Total Alerts
🎯
56.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-2.16%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.8%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +6.60%
Worst: -5.33%
Trades: 26/40

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.3%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.89%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: +5.75%
Worst: -7.02%
Trades: 33/34

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +6.80%
Worst: -7.27%
Trades: 30/36

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.3%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.38%
Avg Loser: -1.40%
Best: +7.83%
Worst: -8.48%
Trades: 29/37

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 56.7%
Avg Gain: -2.16%
Avg Winner: +1.99%
Avg Loser: -7.59%
Best: +12.43%
Worst: -79.76%
Trades: 38/29

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.92%
Best MFE: +12.63%
Avg Time to MFE: 167 min

On average, FTNT alerts reach +1.92% profit potential within 167 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.01%
Worst MAE: -6.35%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.9:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 67 alerts, FTNT typically reaches +1.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 67
Gap Up % 44.8%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +1.79%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC

How FTNT compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FTNT: -0.18% Sector: -0.33% +0.15%
EOD Gain
FTNT: -2.16% Sector: -11.36% +9.20%
Avg MFE
FTNT: +1.92% Sector: +2.48% -0.56%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FTNT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:09 $111.15 -1.83% -1.44% -1.33% -0.58% +0.44% +1.10% -2.19% -0.79% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:05 $109.32 +0.59% +0.38% -0.50% -0.34% -0.91% +0.92% -0.02% +0.16% WIN
2025-02-07 09:28:55 $109.52 +0.22% -2.06% -5.20% -2.96% -1.70% +0.92% -1.87% -0.03% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:34 $95.25 +0.50% +0.50% +1.74% +2.11% +1.60% +3.23% -1.21% -0.36% WIN
2025-01-10 09:28:49 $95.59 -0.17% -0.02% -0.27% -0.28% -1.08% +0.08% -0.81% -0.16% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:28:55 $96.31 -0.19% -0.71% -0.82% -1.32% -0.24% +0.21% -0.18% +0.21% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:27:59 $83.01 +6.60% +4.36% +5.54% +7.83% +10.88% +11.47% +0.59% +1.79% WIN
2024-11-01 09:29:47 $78.0 +0.59% +0.41% +0.35% +1.08% +1.03% +1.82% -0.23% +0.23% WIN
2024-10-17 09:27:40 $79.77 +1.75% +0.12% +0.73% +0.93% +1.37% +2.44% +0.04% +0.31% WIN
2024-09-25 09:27:54 $77.17 +0.45% +0.43% +0.18% +0.60% -0.73% +0.86% +0.03% +0.32% WIN
2024-09-09 09:25:37 $75.51 -0.50% -0.54% -0.33% -0.32% -0.54% +0.54% -0.73% -0.32% LOSS
2024-09-06 09:26:40 $75.83 +0.15% +0.16% +0.57% -0.28% -0.89% +0.78% -0.42% +0.25% WIN
2024-08-07 09:29:09 $65.84 +3.29% +3.27% +4.86% +3.77% +6.21% +9.08% -1.28% -0.24% WIN
2024-07-29 09:25:44 $56.81 -0.29% +0.99% +1.28% +1.31% +1.02% +2.20% -0.69% +0.33% LOSS
2024-07-25 09:28:14 $56.97 +0.42% +0.37% +0.81% +0.11% +0.60% +2.90% -0.28% +0.28% WIN
2024-07-16 09:29:22 $60.7 -0.95% -1.12% -0.82% -1.52% -2.01% -0.71% -1.00% -0.91% LOSS
2024-07-15 09:27:59 $59.59 -0.32% +0.72% +1.31% +1.64% +0.52% +1.90% -0.56% +0.25% LOSS
2024-07-03 09:27:48 $61.21 -0.10% +0.18% -0.06% -0.13% -0.78% +0.44% -0.26% -0.11% LOSS
2024-06-27 09:25:55 $58.5 -0.62% +0.31% +0.62% +1.22% +2.63% +2.87% -0.97% -0.32% LOSS
2024-06-26 09:26:49 $57.89 -0.73% -0.73% -0.10% +0.12% +0.38% +0.93% -1.54% +0.48% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ FTNT Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 56.7% win rate, FTNT has -2.16% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making FTNT profitable.

🔧 Fix FTNT Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze FTNT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FTNT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FTNT historically offers an average upside of +1.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FTNT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.7%, FTNT shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-7.59%) outweigh average wins (+1.99%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: FTNT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -2.16%). This suggests FTNT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.