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PANW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 87 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-23 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (87 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Common Stock COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC (SIC 3577)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 20, 2012 🔗 www.paloaltonetworks.com
💰 Market Cap: $125.59B 👥 Employees: 16,413
Palo Alto Networks is a platform-based cybersecurity vendor with product offerings covering network security, cloud security, and security operations. The California-based firm has more than 80,000 enterprise customers across the world, including more than three fourths of the Global 2000.
📊
87
Total Alerts
🎯
58.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.11%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.96%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.7%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +4.27%
Worst: -2.09%
Trades: 38/49

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.7%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.18%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +4.59%
Worst: -3.97%
Trades: 45/42

30MIN

Win Rate: 58.6%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -1.54%
Best: +4.72%
Worst: -4.42%
Trades: 51/36

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.49%
Avg Loser: -1.47%
Best: +5.31%
Worst: -5.00%
Trades: 41/46

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 34.5%
Avg Gain: -25.39%
Avg Winner: +1.80%
Avg Loser: -39.70%
Best: +5.08%
Worst: -84.30%
Trades: 30/57

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.96%
Best MFE: +8.65%
Avg Time to MFE: 151 min

On average, PANW alerts reach +1.96% profit potential within 151 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.88%
Worst MAE: -4.71%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.88%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.23:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.23x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 87 alerts, PANW typically reaches +1.96% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 87
Gap Up % 48.3%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +1.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC

How PANW compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PANW: -0.06% Sector: -0.33% +0.27%
EOD Gain
PANW: -25.39% Sector: -11.36% -14.03%
Avg MFE
PANW: +1.96% Sector: +2.48% -0.52%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PANW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:07 $192.55 -0.60% -0.33% -0.67% -0.92% +3.88% +4.56% -1.97% -0.29% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:27:40 $168.84 -0.27% +0.61% -0.20% -0.50% +2.36% +2.97% -0.94% +0.32% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:25:08 $202.1 -0.42% -0.72% -0.70% -1.12% -0.43% +2.54% -1.53% +0.11% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:27:28 $397.1 +0.42% +1.07% +1.33% +1.35% +0.78% +1.59% -0.40% - WIN
2024-11-21 09:26:36 $385.5 -0.31% +4.14% +1.56% +0.19% +3.16% +4.80% -1.28% +0.18% LOSS
2024-09-18 09:27:37 $337.27 -0.21% -0.05% -0.45% -1.10% -2.23% +0.14% -0.65% -0.10% LOSS
2024-09-11 09:29:17 $346.07 -0.50% -0.60% -1.75% -3.20% -1.24% +0.12% -0.19% +0.12% LOSS
2024-08-30 09:26:11 $361.2 -1.36% -1.63% -0.38% -0.02% -49.79% +0.49% -1.84% -0.77% LOSS
2024-08-20 09:29:42 $350.15 +4.27% +4.59% +4.72% +5.31% -47.45% +7.20% -0.61% -0.42% WIN
2024-08-13 09:27:10 $333.2 -0.14% +0.10% +0.41% -0.50% -50.00% +0.86% -0.66% -0.56% LOSS
2024-07-19 09:25:47 $332.01 -0.25% -1.28% +0.51% -1.40% -50.17% +1.47% -0.60% -0.02% LOSS
2024-05-28 09:29:50 $320.24 -1.07% -3.04% -3.92% -2.67% -3.82% +0.50% -0.16% -0.04% LOSS
2024-05-21 09:28:25 $300.97 +0.95% +1.14% +2.08% +2.98% +3.55% +5.82% -0.32% +0.06% WIN
2024-05-03 09:29:47 $294.0 -0.41% +0.14% -0.01% -0.75% +0.75% +1.19% -1.23% -0.10% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:29:03 $281.98 +0.10% +0.79% +0.55% -0.41% -50.76% +1.03% -0.25% +0.18% WIN
2024-04-10 09:29:45 $275.5 +1.90% +1.64% +1.03% +0.83% +2.00% +2.54% -0.18% -0.18% WIN
2024-03-07 09:28:07 $279.65 -0.47% -0.09% +0.50% +1.65% -48.78% +3.03% -0.68% +0.13% LOSS
2024-03-06 09:25:39 $297.49 -1.50% -3.97% -4.42% -5.00% -53.13% +0.84% -0.46% +0.50% LOSS
2024-03-04 09:25:03 $301.94 -0.10% -0.84% -2.44% -2.83% -0.83% +0.17% -0.09% +0.02% LOSS
2024-03-01 09:26:40 $311.25 -0.59% -2.44% -2.86% -3.91% -51.42% +0.20% -0.08% +0.09% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 58.6% Baseline on PANW

The 58.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PANW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PANW Strategy →

Why Analyze PANW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PANW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PANW historically offers an average upside of +1.96% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PANW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.6%, PANW shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PANW performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.