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FUTU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 398 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 08, 2019 🔗 www.futuholdings.com
💰 Market Cap: $22.69B 👥 Employees: 3,343
Futu Holdings Ltd is an online broker providing one-stop online investing services. The company provides its services through its digital platform Futu NiuNiu, which includes market data, trading service, and news feed of Hong Kong, Mainland China, Singapore, and the United States equity markets. It generates its revenue in the form of brokerage commission and handling charge services, and interest income.
📊
398
Total Alerts
🎯
53.4%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.27%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+3.57%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +5.53%
Worst: -3.01%
Trades: 204/190

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +2.06%
Avg Loser: -1.78%
Best: +9.56%
Worst: -9.36%
Trades: 205/191

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.4%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.36%
Avg Loser: -2.13%
Best: +11.26%
Worst: -11.75%
Trades: 212/184

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +2.77%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +17.07%
Worst: -16.06%
Trades: 203/191

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: +0.38%
Avg Winner: +3.37%
Avg Loser: -2.84%
Best: +14.65%
Worst: -13.86%
Trades: 206/191

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.57%
Best MFE: +21.06%
Avg Time to MFE: 98 min

On average, FUTU alerts reach +3.57% profit potential within 98 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.17%
Worst MAE: -9.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.06:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.06x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 398 alerts, FUTU typically reaches +3.57% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 398
Gap Up % 49.0%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +2.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FUTU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:15 $126.02 +0.88% -1.62% -0.79% -1.14% -3.33% +1.09% -0.49% -0.25% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:11 $111.0 +0.59% +2.08% +3.47% +4.71% +6.23% +7.55% -0.39% +0.72% WIN
2025-02-12 09:29:41 $109.71 +1.72% +2.45% +3.91% +3.89% +5.56% +6.97% +0.04% +0.10% WIN
2025-02-10 09:25:51 $110.1 -1.00% -2.75% -4.28% -4.03% -2.27% +1.24% -1.30% +0.18% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:27:48 $100.33 +3.43% +2.52% +5.10% +3.40% +5.29% +6.61% -0.33% -0.33% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:13 $97.6 +0.12% -0.18% -0.02% +0.23% -0.45% +1.12% -0.74% +0.40% WIN
2025-01-27 09:29:43 $94.9 +1.17% -0.71% +0.60% -0.96% -1.09% +1.26% -0.41% +0.04% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:09 $88.98 -0.65% +0.07% +0.83% +0.98% +0.31% +1.90% -1.44% +0.02% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:29:42 $78.8 -1.71% -1.23% -1.46% -1.83% -1.47% +0.84% - +0.13% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:29:35 $82.21 -1.21% -0.55% +0.26% +1.09% -1.76% +1.62% -2.81% -0.26% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:28:03 $78.33 +2.77% +2.34% +2.26% +3.05% +1.44% +4.23% +0.03% +0.45% WIN
2024-12-31 09:28:54 $80.0 +0.09% +0.25% +1.11% +1.56% -0.01% +1.85% -0.76% +0.23% WIN
2024-12-23 09:29:51 $84.4 +0.86% +0.85% +0.47% +0.26% +2.12% +2.51% -0.47% - WIN
2024-12-13 09:27:41 $84.52 +0.18% +0.06% +1.99% +2.17% +2.39% +2.85% -0.78% -0.02% WIN
2024-12-12 09:25:56 $85.68 -0.51% +0.56% +0.65% +1.00% -0.51% +1.14% -1.54% +0.19% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:26:51 $91.3 +1.69% -1.07% -1.10% -2.31% -4.73% +2.33% -1.38% -0.33% WIN
2024-12-09 09:26:01 $92.5 +4.00% +7.91% +10.27% +11.18% +6.03% +13.50% -0.24% +0.39% WIN
2024-11-27 09:28:46 $88.63 -1.14% -0.43% -0.29% -2.19% -2.60% +1.42% -1.27% +0.06% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:26:13 $81.05 +1.92% +1.22% +1.31% +4.59% +3.91% +4.94% -0.05% +0.78% WIN
2024-11-21 09:27:24 $87.19 +0.09% -1.06% -1.17% -1.84% -2.87% +0.57% -0.52% +0.01% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.4% Baseline on FUTU

The 53.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FUTU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FUTU Strategy →

Why Analyze FUTU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FUTU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FUTU historically offers an average upside of +3.57% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FUTU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.4%, FUTU shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FUTU performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.