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GBR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-23 → 2022-08-24

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Mar 26, 1993 🔗 www.newconceptenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.1M 👥 Employees: 2
New Concept Energy Inc is a United States-based company engaged in Real Estate Operations. It intends to continue to operate and or sell its West Virginia property. It provides advisory and management services for an independent West Virginia oil and gas company. The Company seeks to establish or acquire new business operations. It operates in one segment, which is real estate rental.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
62.5%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+1.00%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+15.77%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -1.87%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -3.78%
Best: +1.82%
Worst: -5.28%
Trades: 3/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +1.00%
Avg Winner: +5.23%
Avg Loser: -6.06%
Best: +7.90%
Worst: -10.16%
Trades: 5/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +9.03%
Avg Loser: -6.31%
Best: +13.23%
Worst: -12.02%
Trades: 3/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: -1.89%
Avg Winner: +4.64%
Avg Loser: -12.78%
Best: +12.15%
Worst: -19.20%
Trades: 5/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +19.23%
Avg Loser: -11.92%
Best: +35.82%
Worst: -37.06%
Trades: 3/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +15.77%
Best MFE: +61.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 158 min

On average, GBR alerts reach +15.77% profit potential within 158 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.15%
Worst MAE: -14.69%
Avg Time to MAE: 27 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.15%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.57:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.57x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, GBR typically reaches +15.77% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 12.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 12.5%
Avg Gap -2.41%
Best Gap +2.43%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How GBR compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GBR: -2.21% Sector: -0.16% -2.05%
EOD Gain
GBR: -1.49% Sector: +59.69% -61.18%
Avg MFE
GBR: +16.70% Sector: +2.88% +13.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GBR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-08-24 09:25:00 $2.01 -3.98% -1.49% -1.49% +0.75% -4.98% +2.68% -3.98% -3.98% LOSS
2022-03-10 09:25:00 $3.93 -2.29% +7.81% +13.23% +3.56% -1.53% +15.78% -4.58% -4.58% LOSS
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $3.29 +1.63% +7.90% +6.38% +12.15% +13.37% +21.67% - +2.43% WIN
2022-03-08 09:25:00 $5.99 +1.82% +1.50% -12.02% -19.20% -37.06% +4.34% -7.85% -2.34% WIN
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $3.88 -2.57% +7.73% +7.47% +4.89% +35.82% +61.08% -14.69% -0.52% LOSS
2022-03-03 09:25:00 $3.22 -5.28% -6.52% -1.54% -6.66% -6.52% +4.35% -9.32% -5.28% LOSS
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $3.15 -4.76% -10.16% -10.19% -12.48% -9.52% +6.98% -6.35% -3.81% LOSS
2022-02-23 09:25:00 $2.47 +0.49% +1.21% - +1.83% +8.50% +9.31% -2.43% -1.21% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.5% Baseline on GBR

The 62.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GBR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GBR Strategy →

Why Analyze GBR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GBR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GBR historically offers an average upside of +15.77% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GBR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, GBR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GBR performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.00%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.