FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$GBTC

Trade-Ideas alerts 53.8% at EOD n=240 2024-02-08 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Sep 25, 2013
Total alerts
240
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
53.8%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.05%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.56%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading GBTC on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.25%
Avg Loser: -0.17%
Best: +1.36%
Worst: -0.83%
Trades: 120/116

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.9%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.40%
Best: +2.28%
Worst: -1.60%
Trades: 115/123

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +3.94%
Worst: -4.35%
Trades: 117/120

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.8%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -0.82%
Best: +6.10%
Worst: -3.52%
Trades: 122/116

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.50%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +6.95%
Worst: -8.88%
Trades: 129/110

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.56%
Best MFE: +11.24%
Avg Time to MFE: 146 min

On average, GBTC alerts reach +1.56% profit potential within 146 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.49%
Worst MAE: -2.45%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.49%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.18:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.18x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 240 alerts, GBTC typically reaches +1.56% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 240
Gap Up % 46.2%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +0.45%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How GBTC compares to 57 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GBTC: +0.04% Sector: -0.01% +0.05%
EOD Gain
GBTC: +0.05% Sector: +163.64% -163.59%
Avg MFE
GBTC: +1.56% Sector: +1.86% -0.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GBTC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $66.94 +0.07% +0.57% +0.10% -0.24% -2.73% +0.67% -0.07% -0.07% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $64.5 -0.02% +0.42% +0.45% +0.69% +1.46% +2.15% -0.06% -0.06% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $65.93 +0.03% -1.49% -0.89% -1.64% -2.03% +0.29% -0.20% -0.18% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $65.23 -0.25% -0.25% +0.02% -0.58% -1.00% +0.03% -0.49% -0.12% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $64.56 +0.11% +0.19% +0.23% +0.02% -0.25% +0.99% -1.22% -0.02% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $65.01 -0.17% -0.09% -0.09% -0.55% -0.17% +0.26% -0.30% -0.05% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $64.79 +0.03% +0.28% +0.40% +0.79% +0.69% +1.30% -0.12% -0.11% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $66.09 +0.06% +0.39% +0.24% -1.35% -1.18% +0.51% -0.05% +0.05% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $66.26 -0.02% -0.02% +0.51% +0.50% +0.56% +1.19% -0.29% +0.05% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $65.63 +0.14% +0.20% +0.66% +0.87% +1.90% +2.36% -0.15% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $60.38 +0.08% +1.13% +2.42% +3.46% +4.02% +4.29% -0.13% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $59.13 -0.02% -0.67% +0.01% +0.60% +0.02% +0.68% -0.75% -0.20% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $58.54 -0.14% -0.20% -0.03% -0.17% +0.36% +1.04% -0.67% -0.05% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $59.48 -0.26% -0.66% -0.92% -0.79% -1.08% +0.47% -1.83% -0.07% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $60.14 +0.17% +0.32% +0.53% +0.67% +1.55% +2.01% -0.08% +0.03% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $60.03 +0.06% -0.03% +1.50% +1.82% -0.43% +2.86% -0.53% -0.23% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $59.43 -0.11% +0.11% +0.28% +0.58% +0.36% +0.83% -0.20% -0.01% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $61.49 +0.05% -0.13% -0.46% -0.65% -1.66% +0.15% -0.05% +0.07% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $60.58 -0.05% -0.81% -0.51% -0.03% +0.12% +0.81% -0.99% -0.08% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $61.39 +0.13% -0.05% -0.08% -0.04% +0.55% +0.67% -0.94% -0.08% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 53.8% Baseline on GBTC

The 53.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push GBTC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GBTC Strategy →

Why Analyze GBTC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GBTC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GBTC historically offers an average upside of +1.56% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GBTC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.8%, GBTC shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GBTC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.