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GD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-24 → 2025-01-08

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

General Dynamics Corporation SHIP & BOAT BUILDING & REPAIRING (SIC 3730)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 25, 1952 🔗 www.gd.com
💰 Market Cap: $98.13B 👥 Employees: 117,000
General Dynamics is a defense contractor and business jet manufacturer. The firm's segments are aerospace, marine, combat systems, and technologies. General Dynamics' aerospace segment manufactures Gulfstream business jets and operates a global aircraft servicing operation. Combat systems produces land-based combat vehicles such as the M1 Abrams tank and Stryker armored personnel carrier, as well as munitions. The marine segment builds and services nuclear-powered submarines, destroyers, and Navy support ships. The technologies segment contains two main units: an IT business that primarily serves the government market and a mission systems business focusing on electronics that provide command, control, computing, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capabilities to the military.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.29%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.77%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: -0.22%
Worst: -0.60%
Trades: 0/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +0.01%
Worst: -0.61%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: +0.30%
Worst: -0.33%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +0.45%
Worst: -0.40%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +1.38%
Worst: -0.89%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.77%
Best MFE: +1.49%
Avg Time to MFE: 165 min

On average, GD alerts reach +0.77% profit potential within 165 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.82%
Worst MAE: -1.42%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.82%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.94:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, GD typically reaches +0.77% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.67%
Best Gap -0.16%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SHIP & BOAT BUILDING & REPAIRING

How GD compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GD: -0.38% Sector: +0.64% -1.02%
EOD Gain
GD: +0.29% Sector: +297.55% -297.27%
Avg MFE
GD: +0.77% Sector: +9.15% -8.38%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-08 09:27:40 $260.52 -0.60% -0.23% -0.33% -0.37% +0.36% +0.76% -0.68% -0.68% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:28:08 $267.59 -0.22% -0.61% -0.18% -0.40% -0.89% +0.05% -1.42% -1.17% LOSS
2023-03-24 09:28:00 $220.46 -0.32% +0.01% +0.30% +0.45% +1.38% +1.49% -0.36% -0.16% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on GD

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GD Strategy →

Why Analyze GD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GD historically offers an average upside of +0.77% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, GD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GD performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.29%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.