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GDS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 51 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-20 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (51 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

GDS Holdings Limited ADS
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 02, 2016 🔗 www.gds-services.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.32B 👥 Employees: 2,276
GDS Holdings started as an IT service provider in 2001 then moved to the data center business with its first self-developed data center opening in 2010. The company now develops and operates data centers in China and also builds, operates and transfers data centers for other clients. It offers colocation and managed services and mainly targets hyperscale cloud service customers who take large areas of its data centers or even whole data centers under long-term contracts. Its data centers are located predominantly in and around the Tier 1 cities in China and it has also started an expanding into Southeast Asia via the now 38% owned DayOne. GDS listed on the Nasdaq in 2016 and completed a secondary listing in Hong Kong in 2020.
📊
51
Total Alerts
🎯
54.9%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.33%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+4.87%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +1.45%
Avg Loser: -2.34%
Best: +4.53%
Worst: -9.11%
Trades: 27/24

15MIN

Win Rate: 54.9%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +2.27%
Avg Loser: -3.49%
Best: +11.40%
Worst: -15.32%
Trades: 28/23

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.9%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +3.00%
Avg Loser: -3.35%
Best: +7.49%
Worst: -17.59%
Trades: 28/22

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +3.94%
Avg Loser: -3.17%
Best: +9.89%
Worst: -17.53%
Trades: 24/27

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +5.21%
Avg Loser: -5.05%
Best: +15.94%
Worst: -22.15%
Trades: 25/26

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.87%
Best MFE: +18.30%
Avg Time to MFE: 119 min

On average, GDS alerts reach +4.87% profit potential within 119 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.16%
Worst MAE: -14.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.16%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 51 alerts, GDS typically reaches +4.87% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 51
Gap Up % 43.1%
Avg Gap -0.20%
Best Gap +1.67%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GDS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:15 $42.0 -4.82% -5.21% -5.31% -7.11% -6.81% +0.19% -0.43% -0.40% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:26 $33.39 -0.49% +2.85% +2.85% +3.35% +7.88% +8.06% -1.62% -0.24% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:26:52 $34.2 -1.73% -0.66% +4.42% +1.78% +0.67% +5.09% -2.92% -1.14% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:56 $22.84 -2.28% -2.32% -3.35% -5.31% -7.01% +0.04% -1.05% - LOSS
2024-11-01 09:27:41 $21.8 -0.64% -1.61% -1.51% -2.48% -4.40% -0.64% -0.92% -0.92% LOSS
2024-10-14 09:29:27 $21.26 +0.48% +1.65% +3.62% +4.96% +4.47% +6.62% -3.48% -0.19% WIN
2024-09-26 09:27:55 $21.56 +0.32% -1.30% -2.23% -2.64% -7.28% +3.43% +0.09% +0.09% WIN
2024-03-27 09:29:52 $6.1 -0.68% -1.48% -0.16% -0.64% +3.77% +4.26% -4.10% +0.16% LOSS
2024-03-26 09:29:41 $7.9 -9.11% -15.32% -17.59% -17.53% -22.15% +0.41% -3.42% +0.25% LOSS
2024-03-15 09:25:40 $7.8 +0.51% +0.26% -0.26% -0.90% -2.95% +1.79% -1.15% +1.67% WIN
2024-03-11 09:26:00 $7.5 +4.53% +11.40% +5.47% +3.71% +4.27% +14.00% -0.53% +1.20% WIN
2024-02-16 09:27:16 $7.09 +1.41% +1.41% +0.56% +1.13% -3.10% +4.58% -0.56% - WIN
2024-02-06 09:28:30 $5.54 -2.35% +3.97% +7.49% +9.21% +7.94% +12.36% -3.61% -1.44% LOSS
2023-07-31 09:29:00 $13.75 -2.18% -1.69% -2.55% -1.60% -3.42% - - -1.38% LOSS
2023-06-07 09:27:00 $11.45 +0.31% +1.05% +4.37% +3.76% +0.70% +5.15% -0.22% +0.44% WIN
2023-05-15 09:25:00 $11.4 -0.70% +1.14% +0.09% +0.61% +1.49% +2.37% -0.88% -0.09% LOSS
2023-04-28 09:29:00 $15.64 -1.69% -1.25% -2.11% -0.96% -0.70% +0.45% -2.30% -0.45% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:28:00 $15.82 -0.38% -1.20% -2.47% -1.11% -1.45% +0.51% -2.21% -1.20% LOSS
2023-02-27 09:29:00 $19.58 -0.33% -0.41% -1.66% -0.46% +1.02% +1.12% -2.66% +0.51% LOSS
2023-02-24 09:25:00 $19.16 -1.20% +0.44% +0.16% -0.10% -1.25% +1.72% -0.94% +0.68% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ GDS Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 54.9% win rate, GDS has -0.33% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making GDS profitable.

🔧 Fix GDS Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze GDS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GDS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GDS historically offers an average upside of +4.87% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GDS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.9%, GDS shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.49%) outweigh average wins (+2.27%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GDS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.33%). This suggests GDS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.