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GDXJ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 264 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-01-16

🏢 Company Profile

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 11, 2009
📊
264
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.01%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.47%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.0%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.40%
Avg Loser: -0.43%
Best: +1.66%
Worst: -1.83%
Trades: 110/146

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: +2.16%
Worst: -4.36%
Trades: 123/135

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +2.93%
Worst: -3.83%
Trades: 125/135

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +3.40%
Worst: -4.74%
Trades: 117/142

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +5.62%
Worst: -6.09%
Trades: 132/129

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.47%
Best MFE: +6.59%
Avg Time to MFE: 136 min

On average, GDXJ alerts reach +1.47% profit potential within 136 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.64%
Worst MAE: -3.67%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.64%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.31:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.31x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 264 alerts, GDXJ typically reaches +1.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 264
Gap Up % 40.9%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +0.70%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GDXJ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-16 09:29:15 $46.29 +0.54% +0.37% +0.24% +0.39% -1.06% +0.81% +0.04% +0.11% WIN
2025-01-15 09:29:53 $46.41 -0.78% -0.95% -1.61% -1.59% -0.69% +0.47% -0.11% +0.47% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:28:10 $48.9 +0.76% +1.94% +2.76% +2.84% +0.74% +3.37% -0.12% -0.04% WIN
2024-11-25 09:29:39 $46.84 +0.41% +0.10% -0.15% +0.06% -0.04% +0.88% -0.30% +0.04% WIN
2024-11-19 09:25:51 $47.71 +0.06% -0.29% -1.00% -0.44% +0.99% +1.06% -1.05% +0.61% WIN
2024-11-18 09:29:50 $46.63 +0.66% +0.95% +1.54% +2.10% +1.50% +2.69% -0.19% -0.19% WIN
2024-11-12 09:29:26 $46.39 -0.28% +0.19% -0.11% -0.44% -0.88% +0.63% +0.15% +0.30% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:27:45 $47.65 - -0.59% -1.13% -1.53% -1.64% +0.97% -0.39% +0.02% -
2024-11-06 09:25:44 $48.0 +0.29% +1.60% +1.27% +2.73% +2.08% +3.31% -0.71% +0.44% WIN
2024-10-23 09:27:49 $54.67 -0.24% -0.33% -0.37% -0.90% -1.10% +0.02% -1.01% -0.09% LOSS
2024-10-03 09:29:16 $48.78 -0.17% -0.04% -0.45% -0.61% -0.53% +0.14% -0.61% -0.06% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:27:33 $51.09 +0.02% -0.16% -0.18% -0.04% +0.20% +1.27% -0.74% +0.43% WIN
2024-09-19 09:25:24 $49.08 -0.19% -1.12% -0.84% -0.81% -0.75% +0.41% -0.33% +0.26% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:25:47 $41.07 -1.83% -1.14% -0.18% +0.85% +2.43% +3.21% -1.97% -0.83% LOSS
2024-08-02 09:27:36 $45.32 +0.51% -0.02% +0.04% -1.08% -3.57% +1.10% +0.18% +0.46% WIN
2024-07-25 09:27:15 $44.05 +0.18% -0.07% +0.12% -0.01% -0.34% +0.84% -0.93% +0.09% WIN
2024-06-07 09:29:49 $43.62 -0.83% -1.17% -1.42% -1.22% -3.81% +0.34% -0.28% +0.14% LOSS
2024-05-28 09:29:35 $45.65 +0.31% +0.09% -0.33% -0.11% +0.61% +1.04% -0.59% +0.18% WIN
2024-05-20 09:28:42 $46.38 -0.68% -0.28% +0.18% +0.24% +1.21% +1.88% -1.08% +0.19% LOSS
2024-05-10 09:29:54 $44.25 -0.96% -1.14% -0.66% -1.29% -1.83% +0.02% -0.29% +0.02% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ GDXJ Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.01% average gain, GDXJ alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GDXJ for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze GDXJ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GDXJ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GDXJ historically offers an average upside of +1.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GDXJ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, GDXJ shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GDXJ may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GDXJ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.01%). This suggests GDXJ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.