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GEN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-28 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Gen Digital Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 23, 1989 🔗 www.gendigital.com
💰 Market Cap: $15.67B 👥 Employees: 3,500
Gen is a cybersecurity pure-play that offers security, identity protection, and privacy solutions to individual consumers. The firm's cyber safety offerings, via brands such as Norton, Avast, and LifeLock, have long maintained their positions as some of the most recognizable consumer-focused security and identity-protection products.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.16%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.06%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +1.20%
Worst: -0.86%
Trades: 3/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +0.95%
Worst: -1.36%
Trades: 6/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +1.01%
Worst: -1.45%
Trades: 4/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +1.13%
Worst: -1.19%
Trades: 4/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.27%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +2.21%
Worst: -2.04%
Trades: 6/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.06%
Best MFE: +2.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 171 min

On average, GEN alerts reach +1.06% profit potential within 171 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.71%
Worst MAE: -1.59%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.71%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.5:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, GEN typically reaches +1.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 20.0%
Avg Gap -0.27%
Best Gap +0.62%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How GEN compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GEN: -0.18% Sector: -0.09% -0.09%
EOD Gain
GEN: +0.26% Sector: +73.64% -73.37%
Avg MFE
GEN: +1.06% Sector: +4.32% -3.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GEN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:26:33 $27.51 +1.20% +0.20% +0.08% +0.15% +0.76% +1.31% +0.29% +0.62% WIN
2024-12-13 09:26:18 $30.25 -0.86% -1.36% -1.45% -1.19% -1.29% -0.50% -1.12% -0.98% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:27:53 $29.24 -0.32% -0.92% -0.48% -0.72% +0.68% +1.04% -1.16% -0.10% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:28:31 $29.72 +0.17% +0.34% +1.01% +1.13% +2.19% +2.79% -0.27% -0.10% WIN
2024-11-01 09:26:23 $28.86 -0.85% +0.95% - -0.09% -2.04% +1.13% -1.07% -0.28% LOSS
2024-10-17 09:26:44 $28.38 -0.86% -1.34% -1.23% -1.11% -1.13% -0.28% -1.59% -1.04% LOSS
2024-10-14 09:27:01 $27.82 -0.43% -0.54% -0.70% -0.49% +0.68% +0.70% -0.81% -0.14% LOSS
2024-09-27 09:28:03 $27.17 +0.55% +0.94% +0.26% +0.70% +1.10% +1.24% +0.07% +0.07% WIN
2023-06-27 09:27:00 $18.06 - +0.03% +0.36% +0.86% +2.21% +2.82% -0.22% - -
2023-03-28 09:25:00 $16.79 -0.42% +0.06% -0.06% -0.42% -0.54% +0.36% -1.19% -0.77% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ GEN Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.0% win rate, GEN has -0.16% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making GEN profitable.

🔧 Fix GEN Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze GEN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GEN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GEN historically offers an average upside of +1.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GEN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, GEN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.04%) outweigh average wins (+0.42%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GEN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.16%). This suggests GEN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.