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GFI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 372 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-13

🏢 Company Profile

Gold Fields Ltd ADR
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 18, 1976 🔗 www.goldfields.com
💰 Market Cap: $48.94B 👥 Employees: 6,560
Gold Fields Ltd is a producer of gold and is a holder of gold reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia and Peru. In Peru, the company also produces copper. The company is involved in underground and surface gold and surface copper mining and silver and related activities, including exploration, extraction, processing and smelting. It conducts underground and surface mining operations at St. Ives, underground-only operations at Agnew, Granny Smith and South Deep and surface-only open pit mining at Damang, Tarkwa and Cerro Corona. The company's revenues are derived from the sale of gold that it produces.
📊
372
Total Alerts
🎯
48.5%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.85%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.9%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +2.12%
Worst: -3.39%
Trades: 148/196

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +4.75%
Worst: -7.13%
Trades: 153/208

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +5.43%
Worst: -6.59%
Trades: 180/186

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -1.34%
Best: +6.93%
Worst: -8.01%
Trades: 176/189

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.06%
Avg Loser: -1.78%
Best: +14.67%
Worst: -11.47%
Trades: 167/196

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.85%
Best MFE: +16.58%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, GFI alerts reach +1.85% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.73%
Worst MAE: -5.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.73%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.52:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.52x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 372 alerts, GFI typically reaches +1.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 372
Gap Up % 42.5%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +1.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GFI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:25:00 $19.2 -0.91% -0.47% -0.39% -0.23% +0.94% +1.04% -1.15% -0.26% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:25:43 $18.91 +0.95% +0.21% +0.42% +0.50% +0.95% +1.96% -0.16% +0.85% WIN
2025-02-10 09:28:28 $19.47 -1.03% -0.51% -0.21% +1.08% +0.46% +1.23% -1.64% -0.51% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:28:06 $19.0 -0.63% -0.39% -0.05% +0.24% -1.68% +0.42% -0.74% -0.05% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:25:42 $18.77 -1.17% -1.17% -1.38% -2.32% -0.75% +0.53% -0.16% +0.43% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:50 $17.25 -0.12% +0.06% -0.29% +0.24% +0.17% +1.13% -0.64% +0.23% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:26:01 $16.55 +0.06% +0.79% +1.78% +0.60% +0.24% +1.93% -0.30% +0.09% WIN
2025-01-24 09:26:16 $16.78 -0.18% -0.09% +0.33% +0.48% -0.12% +0.72% -0.77% -0.12% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:29:17 $16.13 - -0.34% -0.31% -0.40% +0.12% +0.40% -0.99% -0.31% -
2025-01-22 09:28:19 $16.43 -1.40% -1.03% -1.13% -1.26% -1.77% +0.06% - -0.12% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:09 $15.97 -0.63% +0.00% +0.09% +1.10% -0.94% +1.22% -0.78% -0.50% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:28:27 $15.17 -1.32% -0.13% +0.66% +0.66% +0.79% +1.38% -1.42% -0.20% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:26:45 $15.68 -1.53% -1.66% -1.95% -2.30% -3.76% - - -0.64% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:29:57 $15.48 -1.42% -0.81% -1.42% -1.61% -1.29% +0.48% -0.58% +0.19% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:28:59 $14.89 -1.04% -1.61% -0.97% -2.01% -1.07% +0.47% +0.07% +0.27% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:27:25 $15.17 -0.33% -0.13% -0.79% -1.19% -2.90% +0.86% +0.07% +0.46% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:27:32 $14.06 -0.50% -1.49% -0.64% -1.39% -1.56% +0.92% +0.36% +0.43% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:29:50 $14.41 -0.28% -0.66% -0.38% -0.21% -1.25% +0.87% -1.11% -0.14% LOSS
2024-11-29 09:27:52 $14.29 +0.49% -0.49% -0.66% +0.77% +1.40% +1.82% -1.12% -0.07% WIN
2024-11-25 09:26:49 $14.79 +0.14% +0.07% - -0.78% -0.41% +0.41% -0.74% -0.07% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ GFI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.5% win rate and -0.02% average gain, GFI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GFI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze GFI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GFI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GFI historically offers an average upside of +1.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GFI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.5%, GFI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GFI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GFI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.02%). This suggests GFI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.