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Latest signal:

GH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-12-16 → 2025-02-07

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Guardant Health, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES (SIC 8071)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 04, 2018 🔗 www.guardanthealth.com
💰 Market Cap: $14.90B 👥 Employees: 2,021
Guardant Health, based in Redwood City, California, is a leader in liquid-based cancer tests for clinical and research use. The company offers Guardant360 LDT, a liquid biopsy test for treatment selection in advanced-stage cancer, Guardant360 CDx, an FDA-approved companion diagnostic for several targeted therapies, and Guardant Omni, a broader gene panel for immuno-oncology research. In 2021, Guardant launched Reveal, a tumor-agnostic molecular residual disease test. In 2024, the company received US FDA approval for Shield, a liquid biopsy for colorectal cancer screening. Additionally, Guardant offers research development services such as regulatory approval consultancy and clinical trial referrals.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
62.5%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.66%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+3.68%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.45%
Avg Winner: +2.07%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +4.58%
Worst: -1.74%
Trades: 4/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -3.52%
Best: +2.11%
Worst: -6.84%
Trades: 5/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.20%
Avg Winner: +1.75%
Avg Loser: -4.15%
Best: +2.66%
Worst: -11.15%
Trades: 4/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.76%
Avg Winner: +1.43%
Avg Loser: -4.96%
Best: +3.71%
Worst: -8.39%
Trades: 4/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +3.34%
Avg Loser: -3.09%
Best: +5.53%
Worst: -7.68%
Trades: 4/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.68%
Best MFE: +7.48%
Avg Time to MFE: 112 min

On average, GH alerts reach +3.68% profit potential within 112 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.71%
Worst MAE: -4.31%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.71%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.15:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.15x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, GH typically reaches +3.68% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +3.47%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES

How GH compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GH: +0.45% Sector: -0.18% +0.62%
EOD Gain
GH: +0.13% Sector: +911658.96% -911658.83%
Avg MFE
GH: +3.68% Sector: +11.20% -7.53%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-07 09:29:33 $44.52 +2.13% +2.11% +0.46% +0.31% -0.11% +3.26% -0.15% - WIN
2024-11-04 09:27:26 $23.16 +1.30% +1.90% +2.42% +3.71% +1.90% +5.01% -1.06% -1.04% WIN
2024-07-29 09:29:41 $34.5 -1.74% +0.55% +1.48% -2.75% +2.26% +4.23% -0.87% -0.87% LOSS
2024-05-24 09:27:03 $26.05 -1.15% -2.82% -3.69% -7.83% -2.03% +1.19% -2.88% +0.65% LOSS
2024-04-02 09:26:24 $22.52 -1.07% -6.84% -11.15% -8.39% -7.68% +0.22% -1.20% -1.20% LOSS
2023-05-23 09:28:00 $30.56 -0.72% -0.92% -1.01% +0.98% -2.52% +1.31% -2.00% -0.39% LOSS
2023-01-23 09:25:00 $31.99 +0.25% +0.50% +2.66% +0.72% +5.53% +6.72% -1.22% -0.50% WIN
2022-12-16 09:25:00 $29.0 +4.58% +0.22% -0.76% -0.86% +3.66% +7.48% -4.31% +3.47% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ GH Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 62.5% win rate, GH has -0.66% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making GH profitable.

🔧 Fix GH Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze GH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GH historically offers an average upside of +3.68% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, GH shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.52%) outweigh average wins (+1.06%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.66%). This suggests GH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.