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GIII Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-12-01 → 2022-12-06
⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, GIII alerts reach +4.94% profit potential within 216 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.37%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.6x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, GIII typically reaches +4.94% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL
How GIII compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical GIII alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-06 | 09:25:00 | $13.1 | +0.38% | +1.93% | +0.61% | +1.07% | +3.66% | +4.66% | -1.76% | -0.23% | WIN |
| 2022-12-02 | 09:25:00 | $11.88 | +0.08% | -0.67% | -0.25% | +2.88% | +7.66% | +7.96% | -2.36% | +0.51% | WIN |
| 2022-12-01 | 09:25:00 | $13.7 | -6.24% | -5.99% | -8.47% | -7.45% | -12.63% | +2.19% | - | -0.88% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ GIII Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 66.7% win rate, GIII has -1.92% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making GIII profitable.
🔧 Fix GIII Risk/Reward →Why Analyze GIII with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GIII. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, GIII historically offers an average upside of +4.94% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 GIII Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, GIII shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-6.24%) outweigh average wins (+0.23%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: GIII shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.92%). This suggests GIII is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.