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GLD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 669 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Dec 13, 2007
📊
669
Total Alerts
🎯
49.8%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.00%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.44%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.07%
Avg Loser: -0.07%
Best: +0.38%
Worst: -1.00%
Trades: 302/347

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.4%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.14%
Avg Loser: -0.13%
Best: +0.79%
Worst: -0.82%
Trades: 303/359

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.8%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.19%
Avg Loser: -0.19%
Best: +1.13%
Worst: -1.25%
Trades: 332/329

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: -0.26%
Best: +1.85%
Worst: -1.75%
Trades: 325/340

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -0.43%
Best: +2.16%
Worst: -2.95%
Trades: 328/338

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.44%
Best MFE: +2.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 127 min

On average, GLD alerts reach +0.44% profit potential within 127 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.16%
Worst MAE: -1.26%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.16%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.69:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.69x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 669 alerts, GLD typically reaches +0.44% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 669
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How GLD compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GLD: -0.01% Sector: -0.01% +0.00%
EOD Gain
GLD: +0.01% Sector: +257.70% -257.70%
Avg MFE
GLD: +0.44% Sector: +1.89% -1.45%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GLD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:29 $270.06 -0.08% -0.11% -0.20% -0.91% -1.40% +0.06% -0.01% +0.00% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:29:28 $268.4 +0.00% +0.15% +0.19% +0.23% +0.71% +0.74% -0.07% - LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:13 $267.19 -0.01% -0.10% -0.03% -0.11% +0.18% +0.46% -0.32% -0.01% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:46 $267.3 +0.22% +0.18% +0.11% +0.00% +0.03% +0.40% -0.22% +0.15% WIN
2025-02-10 09:25:10 $267.76 +0.07% +0.11% +0.20% +0.26% +0.23% +0.34% -0.02% +0.09% WIN
2025-02-07 09:28:52 $265.28 -0.08% +0.08% +0.06% +0.27% -0.52% +0.40% -0.12% -0.02% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:25:50 $263.8 -0.11% -0.16% -0.47% -0.53% -0.14% +0.05% -0.02% -0.05% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:27:45 $264.23 +0.22% +0.11% +0.29% +0.47% -0.04% +0.67% -0.00% +0.08% WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:42 $261.48 +0.20% +0.20% +0.19% +0.32% +0.39% +0.41% -0.05% +0.13% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:32 $259.81 +0.02% +0.12% +0.53% +0.22% +0.05% +0.61% -0.05% -0.02% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:49 $259.0 +0.07% +0.09% +0.19% +0.12% -0.17% +0.38% -0.07% +0.03% WIN
2025-01-30 09:29:10 $257.22 -0.24% -0.13% +0.01% +0.10% +0.32% +0.42% -0.30% -0.01% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:57 $253.82 -0.18% +0.13% +0.00% -0.19% -0.33% +0.17% -0.21% +0.02% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:26:23 $256.2 -0.02% +0.04% +0.06% +0.33% -0.21% +0.34% -0.11% -0.09% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:01 $252.12 -0.08% +0.04% +0.17% +0.13% +0.40% +0.49% -0.12% -0.07% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:28:32 $249.7 +0.05% +0.17% +0.23% +0.27% -0.17% +0.44% -0.10% - WIN
2025-01-15 09:25:57 $248.27 -0.03% -0.24% -0.25% -0.29% +0.25% +0.27% -0.51% -0.02% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:25:32 $246.15 +0.06% -0.09% +0.19% -0.09% -0.17% +0.26% -0.12% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-10 09:29:11 $248.35 +0.07% -0.19% -0.08% +0.15% -0.06% +0.28% -0.32% -0.14% WIN
2025-01-08 09:26:39 $245.71 +0.08% +0.13% -0.04% +0.06% +0.06% +0.30% -0.09% +0.00% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ GLD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.8% win rate and +0.00% average gain, GLD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GLD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze GLD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GLD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GLD historically offers an average upside of +0.44% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GLD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.8%, GLD shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GLD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at +0.00%). This suggests GLD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.