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GME Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 357 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 13, 2002 🔗 www.gamestop.com
💰 Market Cap: $10.30B 👥 Employees: 6,000
GameStop Corp is a U.S. multichannel video game, consumer electronics, and services retailer. The company operates across Europe, Canada, Australia, and the United States. The company sells new and second-hand video game hardware, physical and digital video game software, and video game accessories, mainly through GameStop, EB Games, and Micromania stores and international e-commerce sites. The majority of sales are from the United States. The company categorizes its products in three categories: Hardware and accessories, Software, and Collectibles. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the sale of Hardware and accessories products.
📊
357
Total Alerts
🎯
50.4%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.08%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+4.75%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +4.98%
Worst: -15.76%
Trades: 169/179

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.4%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.78%
Avg Loser: -1.98%
Best: +13.08%
Worst: -25.70%
Trades: 179/175

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.53%
Avg Loser: -2.17%
Best: +39.44%
Worst: -25.32%
Trades: 159/196

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.76%
Avg Loser: -2.78%
Best: +30.50%
Worst: -24.53%
Trades: 178/178

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.3%
Avg Gain: -3.14%
Avg Winner: +4.33%
Avg Loser: -9.91%
Best: +46.34%
Worst: -78.60%
Trades: 169/187

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.75%
Best MFE: +50.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 130 min

On average, GME alerts reach +4.75% profit potential within 130 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.72%
Worst MAE: -23.08%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.72%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.76:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.76x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 357 alerts, GME typically reaches +4.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 357
Gap Up % 38.1%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +2.85%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-COMPUTER & COMPUTER SOFTWARE STORES

How GME compares to 1 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GME: -0.07% Sector: -0.07% +0.00%
EOD Gain
GME: -3.07% Sector: -3.07% +0.00%
Avg MFE
GME: +4.58% Sector: +4.58% +0.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GME alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:57 $28.57 -2.89% -2.82% -0.98% -2.96% -5.50% +1.40% -1.30% +1.16% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:50 $25.89 +0.02% +0.75% +0.58% +0.46% +1.74% +1.97% -0.54% -0.54% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:43 $26.05 +0.76% +0.96% +1.24% -0.50% -0.23% +1.34% -0.12% +0.27% WIN
2025-02-11 09:25:02 $26.73 +0.60% +0.79% +2.33% +1.76% -0.64% +3.85% -0.11% +0.45% WIN
2025-02-10 09:27:17 $25.55 +0.10% -0.47% +1.45% +3.29% +6.14% +6.73% -0.98% -0.20% WIN
2025-02-05 09:27:01 $25.75 -0.89% -0.58% -0.97% -0.12% -3.18% +0.23% -1.36% -0.19% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:26:16 $25.55 +0.63% +1.17% +1.80% +2.56% +1.33% +3.87% -0.20% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-30 09:29:50 $27.76 +1.15% +1.15% +0.77% +0.22% +0.83% +1.69% -0.17% +0.29% WIN
2025-01-28 09:28:22 $26.96 +0.48% -1.00% -0.15% +0.63% +1.85% +2.34% -1.14% +0.15% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:20 $26.8 +1.26% +1.87% +2.78% +2.09% +0.63% +3.28% - +0.45% WIN
2025-01-24 09:28:30 $28.28 +0.35% +0.01% +0.64% +0.95% -1.80% +1.38% -0.64% +0.07% WIN
2025-01-23 09:28:23 $28.0 -0.36% -0.25% +0.44% +1.61% +1.18% +4.50% -1.14% -0.43% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:52 $27.29 +0.45% +1.73% +1.43% +1.76% +1.32% +2.66% - +0.26% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:54 $27.46 -1.68% -2.08% -3.48% -2.18% +0.04% +0.40% -4.12% -0.22% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:44 $27.75 +0.27% +0.50% -0.11% -0.86% -0.86% +3.75% -2.63% -0.50% WIN
2025-01-16 09:27:43 $28.13 -0.69% -0.92% -1.53% -0.44% -1.46% +0.04% -1.56% -0.68% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:27:20 $28.72 +1.45% +0.78% +0.73% - -2.65% +2.12% -0.28% +0.63% WIN
2025-01-14 09:29:52 $31.25 +0.67% +0.64% -1.44% -1.02% -10.78% +1.38% -0.38% +0.03% WIN
2025-01-13 09:25:12 $31.65 -0.74% -1.71% -0.90% -1.61% -1.99% +0.47% -2.37% -0.16% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:28:35 $32.32 -0.90% -1.76% -1.24% -1.36% -0.03% +1.92% -2.85% +0.56% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ GME Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 50.4% win rate, GME has -0.08% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making GME profitable.

🔧 Fix GME Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze GME with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GME. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GME historically offers an average upside of +4.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GME Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.4%, GME shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.98%) outweigh average wins (+1.78%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GME shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.08%). This suggests GME is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.