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GNRC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-22 → 2024-04-23

⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

GENERAC HOLDINGS INC MOTORS & GENERATORS (SIC 3621)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 11, 2010 🔗 www.generac.com
💰 Market Cap: $10.15B 👥 Employees: 9,239
Generac designs and manufactures power generation equipment serving residential, commercial, and industrial markets. It offers standby generators, portable generators, lighting, outdoor power equipment, and a suite of clean energy products. Sales generated in the United States account for the majority of total sales.
📊
14
Total Alerts
🎯
78.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.64%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+3.98%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +1.56%
Worst: -2.57%
Trades: 7/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 64.3%
Avg Gain: +0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.60%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +4.68%
Worst: -4.73%
Trades: 9/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 78.6%
Avg Gain: +0.64%
Avg Winner: +1.76%
Avg Loser: -3.45%
Best: +3.71%
Worst: -5.34%
Trades: 11/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +1.31%
Avg Winner: +2.78%
Avg Loser: -2.36%
Best: +8.07%
Worst: -3.44%
Trades: 10/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 78.6%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +2.11%
Avg Loser: -6.70%
Best: +5.21%
Worst: -11.23%
Trades: 11/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.98%
Best MFE: +11.23%
Avg Time to MFE: 115 min

On average, GNRC alerts reach +3.98% profit potential within 115 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.17%
Worst MAE: -4.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.4:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.4x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, GNRC typically reaches +3.98% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 14
Gap Up % 28.6%
Avg Gap -0.32%
Best Gap +1.37%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTORS & GENERATORS

How GNRC compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GNRC: -0.28% Sector: -0.69% +0.41%
EOD Gain
GNRC: +0.22% Sector: -0.72% +0.94%
Avg MFE
GNRC: +3.98% Sector: +6.15% -2.18%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GNRC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-23 09:29:44 $134.99 -0.43% -0.51% +0.48% +1.59% +0.82% +2.26% -0.85% -0.61% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:26:31 $132.75 +0.14% +0.60% +1.19% +1.68% +1.81% +3.29% -0.52% +0.17% WIN
2024-04-18 09:28:21 $130.26 -0.14% -0.20% +0.97% +1.46% +2.46% +3.84% -1.38% +0.54% LOSS
2024-04-09 09:28:29 $136.6 +0.86% +0.45% +0.46% +0.88% +2.65% +2.74% -0.26% -0.22% WIN
2024-04-04 09:26:46 $129.75 -0.29% -0.33% +1.80% +3.39% +1.23% +7.01% -0.77% -0.22% LOSS
2024-04-02 09:25:19 $127.52 +1.56% +0.09% -0.56% -1.18% +0.49% +1.67% -0.49% +1.37% WIN
2024-03-26 09:26:12 $118.5 -0.38% +0.11% +0.33% +0.10% +0.29% +0.73% -1.36% -0.83% LOSS
2023-08-21 09:28:00 $114.97 +0.02% +0.92% +1.77% +0.88% +1.05% +2.15% -0.69% -0.66% WIN
2023-08-02 09:25:00 $126.75 -1.38% +4.68% +3.08% -1.95% -8.52% +4.89% -2.82% -1.74% LOSS
2023-05-03 09:28:00 $109.06 +0.17% +2.21% +3.29% +5.43% +5.21% +11.23% -0.53% -0.06% WIN
2023-03-31 09:27:00 $108.4 -2.57% -2.72% -4.45% -2.87% -0.36% +1.01% -4.88% -0.37% LOSS
2022-10-20 09:25:00 $106.05 +0.08% +2.55% +3.71% +8.07% +3.63% +9.75% -0.57% +0.90% WIN
2022-10-19 09:25:00 $124.25 -1.79% -4.73% -5.34% -3.44% -11.23% +0.52% -0.20% -1.92% LOSS
2022-06-22 09:25:00 $205.19 +0.24% +2.81% +2.24% +4.32% +3.60% +4.60% -1.07% -0.89% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 78.6% Baseline on GNRC

The 78.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GNRC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GNRC Strategy →

Why Analyze GNRC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GNRC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GNRC historically offers an average upside of +3.98% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GNRC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 78.6%, GNRC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GNRC performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.64%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.