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GNW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-01-24 → 2024-07-09

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Genworth Financial, Inc. LIFE INSURANCE (SIC 6311)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 25, 2004 🔗 www.genworth.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.25B 👥 Employees: 2,960
Genworth Financial Inc is a diversified insurance holding company that provides various mortgage and life insurance products. The company has three main operating business segments: Enact, Life and Annuities segment and Long-Term Care Insurance. The company's product portfolio includes various financial products such as traditional life insurance, mortgage insurance, fixed annuities, and variable annuities. Majority of the revenue is generated by the Enact segment. The company earns maximum of its revenue in the United States.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.78%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.19%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +0.42%
Worst: -1.38%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.21%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -3.56%
Best: +0.50%
Worst: -6.21%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.14%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.21%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -5.69%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.87%
Avg Winner: +0.17%
Avg Loser: -2.89%
Best: +0.17%
Worst: -5.60%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.89%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.84%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -5.17%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.19%
Best MFE: +0.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 96 min

On average, GNW alerts reach +0.19% profit potential within 96 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.60%
Worst MAE: -1.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.32:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, GNW typically reaches +0.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.36%
Best Gap +0.17%

🏭 Sector Comparison: LIFE INSURANCE

How GNW compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GNW: -0.78% Sector: +0.02% -0.80%
EOD Gain
GNW: -1.89% Sector: -0.65% -1.24%
Avg MFE
GNW: +0.19% Sector: +1.69% -1.50%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GNW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-09 09:26:51 $5.98 +0.42% +0.50% - +0.17% -0.50% +0.84% -0.08% +0.17% WIN
2023-09-05 09:27:00 $5.8 -1.38% -6.21% -5.69% -5.60% -5.17% -0.34% -0.34% -0.69% LOSS
2023-01-24 09:28:00 $5.44 -1.38% -0.92% -0.74% -0.18% - +0.09% -1.38% -0.55% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ GNW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -0.78% average gain, GNW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GNW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze GNW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GNW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GNW historically offers an average upside of +0.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GNW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, GNW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GNW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GNW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.78%). This suggests GNW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.