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GPRE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-21 → 2022-11-15

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 15, 2006 🔗 www.gpreinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $816.4M 👥 Employees: 923
Green Plains Inc manufactures and sells ethanol and ethanol byproducts in two segments based on function. The ethanol production segment, which generates the majority of revenue, includes the production of ethanol, distillers grains, Ultra-High Protein and renewable corn oil. The agribusiness and energy services segment includes grain handling and storage, commodity marketing and merchant trading for company-produced and third-party ethanol, distillers grains, Ultra-High Protein, renewable corn oil, natural gas and other commodities.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.56%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.56%
Avg Winner: +1.56%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.77%
Worst: +1.35%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.44%
Avg Winner: +2.44%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.76%
Worst: +1.12%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.46%
Avg Winner: +2.46%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.59%
Worst: +1.33%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.74%
Avg Winner: +4.74%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +7.02%
Worst: +2.47%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.62%
Avg Winner: +1.62%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.98%
Worst: +1.25%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.92%
Best MFE: +7.24%
Avg Time to MFE: 60 min

On average, GPRE alerts reach +4.92% profit potential within 60 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.15%
Worst MAE: +0.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.15%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

32.28:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 32.28x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, GPRE typically reaches +4.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.41%
Best Gap +1.77%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS

How GPRE compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GPRE: +1.56% Sector: -0.24% +1.80%
EOD Gain
GPRE: +1.62% Sector: +170.47% -168.86%
Avg MFE
GPRE: +4.92% Sector: +5.49% -0.57%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GPRE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $36.06 +1.77% +1.12% +1.33% +2.47% +1.25% +2.61% +0.30% +1.77% WIN
2022-04-21 09:25:00 $31.77 +1.35% +3.76% +3.59% +7.02% +1.98% +7.24% - +1.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on GPRE

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GPRE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GPRE Strategy →

Why Analyze GPRE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GPRE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GPRE historically offers an average upside of +4.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GPRE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, GPRE shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GPRE performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.56%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.