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GRBK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-14 → 2022-07-14

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Green Brick Partners, Inc OPERATIVE BUILDERS (SIC 1531)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 14, 2007 🔗 www.greenbrickpartners.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.05B 👥 Employees: 650
Green Brick Partners Inc is a homebuilding and land development company. It acquires and develops land, as well as provides land and construction financing to its controlled builders. The company has three reportable segments: builder operations central, builder operations southeast, and land development. The majority of the company's revenue is generated from the builder operations central segment which is entirely the operations of builders in Texas. The company is engaged in various aspects of the homebuilding process, including land acquisition and development, entitlements, design, construction, marketing, sales, and brand image creation. In addition to homebuilding, the company provides home financing services, such as mortgage and title.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.45%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.70%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.45%
Avg Winner: +1.45%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.45%
Worst: +1.45%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.17%
Best: -0.17%
Worst: -0.17%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.17%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.17%
Worst: +0.17%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: -0.64%
Worst: -0.64%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.13%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.13%
Worst: +0.13%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.70%
Best MFE: +1.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 5 min

On average, GRBK alerts reach +1.70% profit potential within 5 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.04%
Worst MAE: -0.04%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.04%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

39.99:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 39.99x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, GRBK typically reaches +1.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.47%
Best Gap +0.47%

🏭 Sector Comparison: OPERATIVE BUILDERS

How GRBK compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GRBK: +1.45% Sector: +0.15% +1.30%
EOD Gain
GRBK: +0.13% Sector: -0.42% +0.54%
Avg MFE
GRBK: +1.70% Sector: +2.02% -0.32%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GRBK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-07-14 09:25:00 $23.59 +1.45% -0.17% +0.17% -0.64% +0.13% +1.70% -0.04% +0.47% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on GRBK

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GRBK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GRBK Strategy →

Why Analyze GRBK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GRBK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GRBK historically offers an average upside of +1.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GRBK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, GRBK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GRBK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.45%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.