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GRMN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-19 → 2022-12-06

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 08, 2000 🔗 www.garmin.com
💰 Market Cap: $39.65B 👥 Employees: 21,800
Garmin produces GPS-enabled hardware and software for five sectors: fitness, outdoors, automotive, aviation, and marine. Garmin has built a strong reputation for durable, high-precision devices through a vertically integrated design and manufacturing approach. The company's product lines include smartwatches, fitness trackers, communication equipment, and a comprehensive suite of systems for marine and aviation navigation. Garmin operates globally, with its business focused primarily on North America and Europe.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.09%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.59%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.09%
Avg Winner: +1.89%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +6.07%
Worst: -0.60%
Trades: 4/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.26%
Avg Winner: +2.00%
Avg Loser: -0.23%
Best: +7.04%
Worst: -0.32%
Trades: 4/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.17%
Avg Winner: +2.57%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +7.00%
Worst: -0.35%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +1.03%
Avg Winner: +3.68%
Avg Loser: -0.30%
Best: +6.95%
Worst: -0.49%
Trades: 2/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.64%
Avg Winner: +3.17%
Avg Loser: -1.43%
Best: +6.07%
Worst: -1.88%
Trades: 4/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.59%
Best MFE: +7.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 266 min

On average, GRMN alerts reach +2.59% profit potential within 266 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.62%
Worst MAE: -0.91%
Avg Time to MAE: 72 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.19:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.19x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, GRMN typically reaches +2.59% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +1.05%
Best Gap +6.19%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS

How GRMN compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GRMN: +1.09% Sector: -0.36% +1.45%
EOD Gain
GRMN: +1.64% Sector: +14.05% -12.42%
Avg MFE
GRMN: +2.59% Sector: +5.94% -3.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GRMN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-12-06 09:25:00 $93.9 +0.09% +0.10% -0.14% -0.27% +0.64% +0.69% -0.83% -0.01% WIN
2022-11-30 09:25:00 $89.81 +0.27% -0.32% -0.35% -0.17% +3.54% +3.53% -0.59% +0.12% WIN
2022-09-07 09:25:00 $88.59 -0.40% +0.17% +0.19% -0.49% +2.42% +2.47% -0.91% -0.91% LOSS
2022-07-22 09:25:00 $106.96 +1.13% +0.69% +0.52% +0.41% -1.88% +1.27% +1.13% +1.27% WIN
2022-06-06 09:25:00 $105.64 -0.60% -0.13% -0.18% -0.28% -0.97% +0.26% -0.60% -0.37% LOSS
2022-05-19 09:25:00 $95.01 +6.07% +7.04% +7.00% +6.95% +6.07% +7.35% +5.52% +6.19% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on GRMN

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GRMN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GRMN Strategy →

Why Analyze GRMN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GRMN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GRMN historically offers an average upside of +2.59% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GRMN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, GRMN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GRMN performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.