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LUNR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 197 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-17 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Intuitive Machines, Inc. Class A Common Stock SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS (SIC 3812)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 14, 2023 🔗 www.intuitivemachines.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.85B 👥 Employees: 435
Intuitive Machines Inc is a space exploration, infrastructure, and services company. It is a diversified space company focused on space exploration. It supplies space products and services to support sustained robotic and human exploration to the Moon, Mars, and beyond. Its products and services are offered through its four business units: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure. The Company operates in one operating segment and one reportable segment underpinned by three core pillars (delivery services, data transmission services, and infrastructure as a service) that have similar capabilities, customers, and economic characteristics. Revenue is from contracts with customers of orbital and lunar access services.
📊
197
Total Alerts
🎯
49.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.04%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+6.83%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +1.95%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +9.56%
Worst: -8.44%
Trades: 82/110

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.1%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +3.03%
Avg Loser: -2.64%
Best: +39.69%
Worst: -18.09%
Trades: 86/108

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +3.64%
Avg Loser: -3.15%
Best: +21.69%
Worst: -21.54%
Trades: 84/112

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +4.37%
Avg Loser: -4.12%
Best: +38.34%
Worst: -30.62%
Trades: 96/100

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +6.33%
Avg Loser: -6.36%
Best: +30.96%
Worst: -78.23%
Trades: 87/109

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.83%
Best MFE: +74.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 103 min

On average, LUNR alerts reach +6.83% profit potential within 103 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.58%
Worst MAE: -14.76%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.58%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.64:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.64x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 197 alerts, LUNR typically reaches +6.83% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 197
Gap Up % 33.0%
Avg Gap -0.20%
Best Gap +4.04%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS

How LUNR compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LUNR: -0.32% Sector: -0.36% +0.04%
EOD Gain
LUNR: -0.73% Sector: +14.05% -14.78%
Avg MFE
LUNR: +6.40% Sector: +5.94% +0.47%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LUNR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:36 $19.57 -2.02% -3.17% -1.35% +0.05% +0.26% +1.84% -5.77% -0.36% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:27:01 $19.25 +0.08% +2.55% +0.42% -0.83% -0.47% +3.17% -1.82% -0.16% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:16 $17.98 -1.84% -0.68% +2.11% +1.92% +4.28% +7.48% -2.28% -0.17% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:29:24 $19.63 -0.51% -1.20% -1.83% -2.24% -7.59% +0.61% -1.12% -0.15% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:26:36 $18.77 +2.13% +3.60% +2.35% +2.45% +6.18% +7.99% -1.44% -0.37% WIN
2025-02-07 09:29:11 $19.39 +2.66% +3.15% +2.66% +1.91% -5.11% +3.46% -0.57% - WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:59 $19.99 +0.63% -1.20% -1.45% -1.20% -3.00% +1.10% -0.71% - WIN
2025-02-05 09:27:03 $21.15 -5.92% -4.30% -3.17% -4.30% -7.23% +0.28% -2.32% -0.43% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:26:56 $21.65 +0.80% -0.16% -0.60% +1.82% -0.32% +2.86% -2.91% -0.42% WIN
2025-02-03 09:29:48 $20.36 -0.64% -2.23% -0.61% +3.39% +6.58% +8.97% -3.24% -0.34% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:27:48 $22.84 +1.59% -0.22% -0.66% +3.22% -5.08% +4.60% -3.11% -0.83% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:54 $21.4 +0.65% +2.48% +1.92% +1.78% +4.77% +7.64% -1.19% +0.28% WIN
2025-01-29 09:29:52 $21.55 +1.21% +1.95% -0.05% +1.69% -3.16% +4.27% -1.25% -0.14% WIN
2025-01-28 09:28:20 $22.47 -2.31% -4.34% -3.96% -0.98% -4.23% +2.31% -1.56% -0.40% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:56 $21.7 -0.41% -0.97% +2.92% +2.68% -2.58% +6.41% -2.26% +0.05% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:57 $23.29 +3.39% +5.20% +5.20% +3.53% -0.94% +7.13% -0.50% -0.43% WIN
2025-01-23 09:28:12 $21.89 +1.85% +1.68% +0.96% +0.21% +1.28% +4.84% -1.42% -0.27% WIN
2025-01-22 09:29:50 $21.99 +2.55% +1.91% +2.59% +6.12% +2.09% +6.64% -0.59% -0.16% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:28 $19.64 +4.28% +8.28% +8.66% +9.73% +16.80% +17.01% -1.83% -0.51% WIN
2025-01-17 09:27:16 $19.35 -0.10% +0.57% -0.41% -2.53% -4.34% +2.64% -2.22% -0.75% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 49.0% Baseline on LUNR

The 49.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LUNR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LUNR Strategy →

Why Analyze LUNR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LUNR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LUNR historically offers an average upside of +6.83% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LUNR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.0%, LUNR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LUNR performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.