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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$GRPN

Trade-Ideas alerts 60.9% at 30-min n=23 2022-01-18 → 2026-05-27

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 23 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Groupon, Inc.Common Stock SERVICES-ADVERTISING AGENCIES (SIC 7311)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 04, 2011 🔗 www.groupon.com
💰 Market Cap: $785.2M 👥 Employees: 1,734
Groupon Inc is a globalised, scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. Its categories include Local: local inventory includes things to do, beauty and wellness, food and drink, home and automotive services, online services, as well as other types of experiences and services. Goods: Includes merchandise across multiple product lines, such as electronics, sporting goods, jewelry, toys, household items and apparel, and Travel: Features travel experiences at both discounted and market rates, including hotels, airfare, and package deals covering both domestic and international travel. The company operates in two segments, North America and International, with the majority of revenue from the Local category from the North America Segment.
Total alerts
23
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
60.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.14%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+8.51%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading GRPN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.4%
Avg Gain: -0.93%
Avg Winner: +2.95%
Avg Loser: -2.63%
Best: +9.69%
Worst: -7.07%
Trades: 7/16

15MIN

Win Rate: 39.1%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +4.63%
Avg Loser: -3.24%
Best: +10.28%
Worst: -10.60%
Trades: 9/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.9%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +3.25%
Avg Loser: -5.41%
Best: +12.06%
Worst: -11.13%
Trades: 14/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +4.92%
Avg Loser: -5.39%
Best: +15.25%
Worst: -11.41%
Trades: 12/11

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: +0.88%
Avg Winner: +9.25%
Avg Loser: -8.26%
Best: +28.14%
Worst: -25.94%
Trades: 12/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.51%
Best MFE: +29.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 137 min

On average, GRPN alerts reach +8.51% profit potential within 137 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.88%
Worst MAE: -7.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.88%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.95:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.95x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 23 alerts, GRPN typically reaches +8.51% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 23
Gap Up % 43.5%
Avg Gap +0.05%
Best Gap +4.17%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-ADVERTISING AGENCIES

How GRPN compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GRPN: -0.93% Sector: -0.64% -0.29%
EOD Gain
GRPN: +0.88% Sector: -0.01% +0.88%
Avg MFE
GRPN: +8.51% Sector: +6.29% +2.23%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GRPN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-05-27 09:25:00 $20.96 -1.77% +0.19% +2.19% +3.15% +2.39% +6.82% -2.67% -1.29% LOSS
2026-05-26 09:25:00 $18.9 -4.50% -0.74% -0.42% +3.89% +9.47% +12.01% -7.41% +0.00% LOSS
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $16.0 +4.72% +10.28% +9.38% +15.25% +11.12% +18.75% -0.87% +0.00% WIN
2026-04-22 09:25:00 $16.84 -0.31% +3.48% +2.49% -5.23% -5.40% +6.18% -1.01% +0.77% LOSS
2026-04-21 09:25:00 $17.55 -4.59% -4.39% +0.91% -3.25% -5.07% +6.50% -7.41% -0.40% LOSS
2026-04-15 09:25:00 $12.6 +2.30% +4.60% +3.89% +4.76% +2.54% +10.56% +0.00% +1.75% WIN
2026-03-11 09:25:00 $10.55 +9.69% +7.30% +0.85% +4.35% +5.02% +19.34% -0.47% +4.17% WIN
2024-11-13 09:29:46 $8.85 -7.07% -4.86% -11.13% -7.46% -6.67% +0.68% -4.86% -1.13% LOSS
2024-07-31 09:25:33 $14.48 +0.52% -0.52% +2.56% -3.49% -8.01% +6.84% -2.62% +2.00% WIN
2024-03-18 09:28:56 $12.7 -4.65% -4.69% +1.02% -2.44% +13.07% +13.70% -6.85% +0.79% LOSS
2024-03-15 09:25:42 $17.0 -3.00% -2.35% -10.53% -11.41% -25.94% +0.76% -5.86% -4.82% LOSS
2023-11-21 09:28:00 $10.25 +1.02% -0.06% -1.66% -3.61% -2.93% +2.73% -3.02% +1.37% WIN
2023-11-10 09:29:00 $9.76 -5.89% -10.60% -10.86% -10.74% -9.58% +1.95% +0.72% +0.82% LOSS
2023-08-24 09:26:00 $13.3 +1.20% -5.41% +1.27% -2.25% -8.42% +3.61% -0.45% +0.68% WIN
2023-07-11 09:28:00 $6.9 -3.62% -4.49% -5.07% -0.29% -0.43% +2.17% -5.65% -0.14% LOSS
2023-03-31 09:25:00 $3.6 -1.25% +1.11% +1.11% +4.72% +16.94% +18.33% -2.50% -0.83% LOSS
2023-02-15 09:29:00 $7.46 -0.54% +0.54% +0.10% +1.21% +3.89% +4.02% -2.01% -1.21% LOSS
2022-12-30 09:25:00 $7.4 -1.22% -2.46% -2.70% +2.64% +15.95% +16.62% -3.36% -0.54% LOSS
2022-11-08 09:25:00 $7.0 -1.57% +6.86% +12.06% +14.71% +28.14% +29.57% -6.00% -0.43% LOSS
2022-05-10 09:25:00 $13.5 +1.19% +7.33% +7.52% +3.67% +1.48% +9.11% -0.30% +0.89% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ GRPN Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.9% win rate, GRPN has -0.14% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making GRPN profitable.

🔧 Fix GRPN Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze GRPN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GRPN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GRPN historically offers an average upside of +8.51% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GRPN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.9%, GRPN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-5.41%) outweigh average wins (+3.25%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GRPN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.14%). This suggests GRPN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.