Latest signal:
GRPN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2024-11-13
⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, GRPN alerts reach +7.23% profit potential within 143 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.91%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.49x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, GRPN typically reaches +7.23% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-ADVERTISING AGENCIES
How GRPN compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical GRPN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-13 | 09:29:46 | $8.85 | -7.07% | -4.86% | -11.13% | -7.46% | -6.67% | +0.68% | -4.86% | -1.13% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-31 | 09:25:33 | $14.48 | +0.52% | -0.52% | +2.56% | -3.49% | -8.01% | +6.84% | -2.62% | +2.00% | WIN |
| 2024-03-18 | 09:28:56 | $12.7 | -4.65% | -4.69% | +1.02% | -2.44% | +13.07% | +13.70% | -6.85% | +0.79% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-15 | 09:25:42 | $17.0 | -3.00% | -2.35% | -10.53% | -11.41% | -25.94% | +0.76% | -5.86% | -4.82% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-21 | 09:28:00 | $10.25 | +1.02% | -0.06% | -1.66% | -3.61% | -2.93% | +2.73% | -3.02% | +1.37% | WIN |
| 2023-11-10 | 09:29:00 | $9.76 | -5.89% | -10.60% | -10.86% | -10.74% | -9.58% | +1.95% | +0.72% | +0.82% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-24 | 09:26:00 | $13.3 | +1.20% | -5.41% | +1.27% | -2.25% | -8.42% | +3.61% | -0.45% | +0.68% | WIN |
| 2023-07-11 | 09:28:00 | $6.9 | -3.62% | -4.49% | -5.07% | -0.29% | -0.43% | +2.17% | -5.65% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-31 | 09:25:00 | $3.6 | -1.25% | +1.11% | +1.11% | +4.72% | +16.94% | +18.33% | -2.50% | -0.83% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-15 | 09:29:00 | $7.46 | -0.54% | +0.54% | +0.10% | +1.21% | +3.89% | +4.02% | -2.01% | -1.21% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-30 | 09:25:00 | $7.4 | -1.22% | -2.46% | -2.70% | +2.64% | +15.95% | +16.62% | -3.36% | -0.54% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-08 | 09:25:00 | $7.0 | -1.57% | +6.86% | +12.06% | +14.71% | +28.14% | +29.57% | -6.00% | -0.43% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-10 | 09:25:00 | $13.5 | +1.19% | +7.33% | +7.52% | +3.67% | +1.48% | +9.11% | -0.30% | +0.89% | WIN |
| 2022-03-18 | 09:25:00 | $18.9 | -1.59% | -0.32% | -0.19% | +0.16% | +1.01% | +2.14% | -2.01% | -1.90% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-02 | 09:25:00 | $28.44 | -0.28% | -3.81% | -6.08% | -9.11% | -16.77% | +1.44% | -0.63% | +0.56% | LOSS |
| 2022-01-18 | 09:25:00 | $22.01 | -0.23% | -0.59% | +0.14% | +0.59% | -1.64% | +1.95% | -1.09% | -0.05% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ GRPN Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -1.40% average gain, GRPN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GRPN for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze GRPN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GRPN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, GRPN historically offers an average upside of +7.23% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 GRPN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, GRPN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GRPN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: GRPN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -1.40%). This suggests GRPN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.