FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

HALO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-16 → 2024-11-22

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 12, 2004 🔗 www.halozyme.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.14B 👥 Employees: 350
Halozyme Therapeutics Inc is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing novel oncology therapies. The company seeks to create therapies focused on human enzymes that alter tumors. Halozyme focuses on developing its proprietary products in therapeutic areas with a focus on oncology, and licensing its technology to biopharmaceutical companies to collaboratively develop products. The company's operations are based in the United States, with minimal long-lived assets located internationally.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
40.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.87%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.45%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 11.1%
Avg Gain: -1.07%
Avg Winner: +0.06%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +0.06%
Worst: -3.86%
Trades: 1/8

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.87%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: -1.63%
Best: +1.15%
Worst: -6.31%
Trades: 3/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.06%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +0.90%
Worst: -5.87%
Trades: 3/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.97%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -1.98%
Best: +1.24%
Worst: -4.63%
Trades: 3/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.87%
Avg Winner: +1.29%
Avg Loser: -2.77%
Best: +2.25%
Worst: -7.61%
Trades: 4/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.45%
Best MFE: +5.20%
Avg Time to MFE: 154 min

On average, HALO alerts reach +1.45% profit potential within 154 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.62%
Worst MAE: -5.69%
Avg Time to MAE: 67 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.9:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, HALO typically reaches +1.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 10.0%
Avg Gap -0.49%
Best Gap +0.39%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How HALO compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HALO: -1.07% Sector: -0.41% -0.66%
EOD Gain
HALO: -0.78% Sector: +1233.50% -1234.28%
Avg MFE
HALO: +1.50% Sector: +6.69% -5.19%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HALO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-22 09:28:51 $49.0 -3.86% -1.80% -2.27% -2.71% - +1.16% -5.69% -0.14% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:28:16 $49.41 -2.50% -6.31% -5.87% -4.63% -7.61% +0.47% -2.67% -1.21% LOSS
2024-09-20 09:25:26 $59.6 -0.18% -0.13% -0.89% -0.64% -0.60% +0.39% -0.18% +0.39% LOSS
2024-02-23 09:27:45 $39.99 -0.28% -0.51% +0.90% +1.24% +1.43% +2.40% -0.60% -0.45% LOSS
2024-02-02 00:00:00 $34.26 - - - - -1.69% +1.02% -1.34% -1.34% -
2023-11-01 09:26:00 $34.0 -0.29% -0.74% -0.72% -1.99% -1.44% +0.06% -1.21% -1.15% LOSS
2023-07-25 09:28:00 $42.76 -0.47% +0.29% +0.25% +0.70% +0.12% +1.71% -0.82% -0.42% LOSS
2023-05-02 09:26:00 $32.63 -1.47% -0.31% -0.80% -1.35% -2.48% -0.15% -1.47% -0.18% LOSS
2023-01-17 09:26:00 $50.34 -0.68% +0.50% +0.16% +1.21% +1.35% +2.26% -0.91% -0.20% LOSS
2022-08-16 09:25:00 $43.5 +0.06% +1.15% -0.34% -0.57% +2.25% +5.20% -1.26% -0.14% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HALO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.0% win rate and -0.87% average gain, HALO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HALO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze HALO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HALO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HALO historically offers an average upside of +1.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HALO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.0%, HALO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HALO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HALO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.87%). This suggests HALO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.