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HAYW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-03 → 2023-09-27

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 12, 2021 🔗 hayward.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.58B 👥 Employees: 2,080
Hayward Holdings is a leading manufacturer of energy-efficient swimming pool equipment and pool automation systems. The company offers a wide range of pool equipment, including pumps, filters, heaters, LED lights, and sanitization. Headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, the company has around 2,000 full-time employees. Hayward generated approximately $1.1 billion in revenue in 2024.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+1.12%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.54%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.31%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +0.48%
Worst: -1.02%
Trades: 3/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +1.73%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +2.18%
Worst: -1.40%
Trades: 2/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.03%
Avg Winner: +2.30%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: +3.57%
Worst: -0.54%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.12%
Avg Winner: +1.75%
Avg Loser: -0.16%
Best: +2.75%
Worst: -0.20%
Trades: 4/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.69%
Avg Winner: +2.83%
Avg Loser: -1.44%
Best: +4.14%
Worst: -2.03%
Trades: 3/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.54%
Best MFE: +5.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 211 min

On average, HAYW alerts reach +2.54% profit potential within 211 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.51%
Worst MAE: -2.52%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.51%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.68:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, HAYW typically reaches +2.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.24%
Best Gap +0.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REFRIGERATION & SERVICE INDUSTRY MACHINERY

How HAYW compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HAYW: -0.09% Sector: +0.31% -0.40%
EOD Gain
HAYW: +0.69% Sector: +2.10% -1.41%
Avg MFE
HAYW: +2.54% Sector: +3.59% -1.05%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HAYW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-09-27 09:25:00 $14.65 -1.02% -1.40% -0.01% -0.20% -1.16% +0.31% -2.12% -1.02% LOSS
2023-08-22 09:29:00 $13.86 -0.18% -0.04% -0.54% +0.29% +0.29% +1.15% -0.61% +0.29% LOSS
2023-08-04 09:26:00 $14.0 +0.32% +2.18% +3.57% +2.75% +4.14% +5.86% -1.14% -0.68% WIN
2023-05-08 09:29:00 $11.84 -0.30% -0.04% -0.21% -0.13% -2.03% +0.93% -1.69% - LOSS
2023-03-02 09:28:00 $11.35 +0.48% +1.28% +2.25% +2.56% +4.05% +4.14% -0.97% -0.09% WIN
2022-05-03 09:25:00 $15.08 +0.13% -0.53% +1.09% +1.43% -1.13% +2.85% -2.52% +0.07% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on HAYW

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HAYW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HAYW Strategy →

Why Analyze HAYW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HAYW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HAYW historically offers an average upside of +2.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HAYW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, HAYW shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HAYW performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.