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HCI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-19 → 2022-05-19

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 15, 2008 🔗 www.hcigroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.05B 👥 Employees: 552
HCI Group Inc is engaged in the property and casualty insurance business through two Florida domiciled insurance companies, Homeowners Choice Property & Casualty Insurance Company (HCPCI) and TypTap Insurance Company (TypTap). Both HCPCI and TypTap are authorized to underwrite various homeowners' property and casualty insurance products and allied lines business in the state of Florida and other states. The operating segments of the group are insurance operations, TypTap Group, reciprocal exchange operations, real estate operations, and corporate and other. It derives key revenue from the HCPCI Insurance operation segment.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+1.65%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.78%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.03%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.03%
Best: -2.03%
Worst: -2.03%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.07%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.07%
Best: -3.07%
Worst: -3.07%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.50%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.50%
Best: -6.50%
Worst: -6.50%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.65%
Avg Winner: +1.65%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: +1.65%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.51%
Avg Winner: +2.51%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.51%
Worst: +2.51%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.78%
Best MFE: +4.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 154 min

On average, HCI alerts reach +4.78% profit potential within 154 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -7.06%
Worst MAE: -7.06%
Avg Time to MAE: 34 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 7.06%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.68:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, HCI typically reaches +4.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.38%
Best Gap -1.38%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE

How HCI compares to 22 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HCI: -2.03% Sector: +0.01% -2.04%
EOD Gain
HCI: +2.51% Sector: +58.36% -55.84%
Avg MFE
HCI: +4.78% Sector: +2.97% +1.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HCI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-05-19 09:25:00 $64.43 -2.03% -3.07% -6.50% +1.65% +2.51% +4.78% -7.06% -1.38% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on HCI

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HCI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HCI Strategy →

Why Analyze HCI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HCI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HCI historically offers an average upside of +4.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HCI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, HCI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HCI performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.65%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.