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Latest signal:

HCWC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-11-13 → 2025-01-07

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Healthy Choice Wellness Corp. RETAIL-GROCERY STORES (SIC 5411)
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Sep 16, 2024 🔗 www.healthiercmc.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.9M 👥 Employees: 450
Healthy Choice Wellness Corp is a company engaged in providing consumers with healthier daily choices with respect to nutrition and other lifestyle alternatives. The company has one reportable segment which is natural and organic retail stores.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-4.46%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+9.66%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -4.46%
Avg Winner: +1.60%
Avg Loser: -7.49%
Best: +1.60%
Worst: -9.24%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -5.77%
Avg Winner: +3.90%
Avg Loser: -10.60%
Best: +3.90%
Worst: -10.84%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.12%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.12%
Best: -0.87%
Worst: -8.68%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -8.87%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -8.87%
Best: -8.56%
Worst: -9.24%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.20%
Avg Winner: +11.89%
Avg Loser: -7.75%
Best: +11.89%
Worst: -8.56%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.66%
Best MFE: +16.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 69 min

On average, HCWC alerts reach +9.66% profit potential within 69 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -9.34%
Worst MAE: -14.36%
Avg Time to MAE: 30 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 9.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.03:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, HCWC typically reaches +9.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -3.51%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-GROCERY STORES

How HCWC compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HCWC: -4.46% Sector: -0.17% -4.28%
EOD Gain
HCWC: -1.20% Sector: -0.38% -0.82%
Avg MFE
HCWC: +9.66% Sector: +2.84% +6.82%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HCWC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-07 09:25:17 $1.43 -5.73% -10.84% -2.80% -8.81% +11.89% +16.08% -12.59% -6.99% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:27:18 $0.89 -9.24% -10.36% -8.68% -9.24% -6.95% +7.56% -14.36% -3.53% LOSS
2024-11-13 09:27:20 $1.87 +1.60% +3.90% -0.87% -8.56% -8.56% +5.35% -1.07% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HCWC Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -4.46% average gain, HCWC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HCWC for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze HCWC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HCWC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HCWC historically offers an average upside of +9.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HCWC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, HCWC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HCWC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HCWC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -4.46%). This suggests HCWC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.