FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

HD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 95 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-01-06

⚠️ Small sample size (95 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 22, 1981 🔗 www.homedepot.com
💰 Market Cap: $382.05B 👥 Employees: 470,100
Home Depot is the world's largest home improvement specialty retailer, operating 2,356 warehouse-format stores offering more than 30,000 products in store and 1 million products online in the US, Canada, and Mexico. Its stores offer building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and decor products and provide various services, including home improvement installation services and tool and equipment rentals. The acquisition of Interline Brands in 2015 allowed Home Depot to enter the MRO business, which has been expanded through the tie-up with HD Supply (2020). The 2024 tie-up with SRS will help grow professional demand in roofing, pool, and landscaping projects, while the 2025 purchase of GMS will lift building product sales, adding 1,200 distribution locations.
📊
95
Total Alerts
🎯
51.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.09%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: -0.40%
Best: +2.10%
Worst: -1.83%
Trades: 49/46

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +2.43%
Worst: -2.17%
Trades: 45/49

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +2.66%
Worst: -2.20%
Trades: 49/46

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.4%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +4.03%
Worst: -4.11%
Trades: 46/49

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.17%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +4.93%
Worst: -5.62%
Trades: 44/51

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.09%
Best MFE: +6.72%
Avg Time to MFE: 105 min

On average, HD alerts reach +1.09% profit potential within 105 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.39%
Worst MAE: -1.37%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.39%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.81:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.81x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 95 alerts, HD typically reaches +1.09% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 95
Gap Up % 48.4%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +1.58%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-LUMBER & OTHER BUILDING MATERIALS DEALERS

How HD compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HD: +0.02% Sector: +0.02% -0.00%
EOD Gain
HD: -0.19% Sector: -0.16% -0.03%
Avg MFE
HD: +1.09% Sector: +1.30% -0.21%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-06 09:26:06 $389.71 +0.08% +0.20% +0.68% +0.30% -0.09% +1.10% -0.25% +0.20% WIN
2024-12-11 09:26:44 $423.8 +0.16% +0.76% +0.81% +0.31% -0.57% +0.99% -0.19% +0.34% WIN
2024-12-06 09:26:36 $428.26 +0.85% +0.88% +1.25% +1.67% +0.73% +1.75% -0.29% +0.10% WIN
2024-11-29 09:25:08 $429.41 -0.34% -0.08% +0.03% -0.02% -0.07% +0.37% -0.44% -0.20% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:29:40 $400.0 +0.48% +0.93% +1.26% +1.35% +2.61% +2.85% +0.10% +0.33% WIN
2024-11-12 09:29:11 $415.0 -1.18% -1.07% -0.66% -2.34% -2.87% +0.25% -0.56% -0.18% LOSS
2024-10-24 09:29:09 $402.0 -0.25% -0.85% -0.33% -0.34% +0.17% +0.55% -0.97% +0.07% LOSS
2024-10-23 09:29:36 $401.08 -0.16% +0.11% +0.44% +0.13% -0.36% +0.80% -0.52% -0.13% LOSS
2024-10-22 09:25:30 $399.99 -0.11% -0.37% -0.51% -0.12% +0.47% +0.74% -0.94% -0.37% LOSS
2024-10-21 09:26:19 $415.13 +0.25% +0.16% -0.12% -0.67% -2.10% +0.34% -0.25% +0.23% WIN
2024-10-09 09:25:35 $421.36 -0.75% -0.58% -1.03% -2.20% -1.26% +0.06% +0.06% -0.32% LOSS
2024-10-08 09:25:24 $408.5 +0.31% +0.92% +0.75% +0.71% +1.39% +1.66% -0.01% +0.32% WIN
2024-09-04 09:28:29 $365.16 -0.65% -0.19% +0.01% +0.07% -0.13% +0.21% -0.69% -0.27% LOSS
2024-09-03 09:28:50 $367.75 +0.34% +0.32% +0.17% -0.34% -0.82% +0.44% -0.28% +0.04% WIN
2024-08-21 09:25:03 $368.16 +0.57% +1.03% +1.14% +0.61% +0.62% +1.28% +0.23% +0.35% WIN
2024-08-13 09:26:27 $340.0 +0.01% +2.43% +1.82% +2.21% +2.96% +3.94% -0.29% +0.55% WIN
2024-07-25 09:28:09 $352.0 -0.30% -0.16% +0.71% +0.59% +0.37% +1.94% -0.76% -0.51% LOSS
2024-07-23 09:28:42 $365.5 -0.39% -0.45% -0.66% -1.07% -1.61% - - -0.02% LOSS
2024-07-22 09:27:37 $363.66 +0.53% +0.94% +0.24% -0.40% -0.11% +1.00% +0.03% +0.23% WIN
2024-06-24 09:26:03 $357.0 -0.36% -0.44% -0.28% -0.51% -1.71% +0.19% -0.14% -0.03% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 51.6% Baseline on HD

The 51.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HD Strategy →

Why Analyze HD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HD historically offers an average upside of +1.09% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.6%, HD shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HD performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.