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HGBL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-10 → 2023-03-10

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 07, 1989 🔗 www.hginc.com
💰 Market Cap: $47.6M 👥 Employees: 86
Heritage Global Inc values and monetizes industrial and financial assets by providing acquisition, disposition, valuation, and lending services for surplus and distressed assets. It aids in facilitating the economy by diverting useful industrial assets from landfills and operating a supply chain by overseeing the post-sale account activity of financial assets. The group operates in four segments namely Auction and Liquidation; Refurbishment and Resale; Brokerage and Specialty Lending. It generates maximum revenue from the Auction and Liquidation segment. The Auction and Liquidation segment, through HGP, operates as a full-service auction, appraisal, and asset advisory firm, including the acquisition of turnkey manufacturing facilities and used industrial machinery and equipment.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+3.24%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+7.19%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.12%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.12%
Best: -6.12%
Worst: -6.12%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.24%
Avg Winner: +3.24%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.24%
Worst: +3.24%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.25%
Avg Winner: +4.25%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.25%
Worst: +4.25%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.52%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.52%
Best: -2.52%
Worst: -2.52%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.44%
Avg Winner: +1.44%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.44%
Worst: +1.44%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.19%
Best MFE: +7.19%
Avg Time to MFE: 19 min

On average, HGBL alerts reach +7.19% profit potential within 19 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -7.19%
Worst MAE: -7.19%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 7.19%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.0:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, HGBL typically reaches +7.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How HGBL compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HGBL: -6.12% Sector: -0.05% -6.07%
EOD Gain
HGBL: +1.44% Sector: +1758.96% -1757.52%
Avg MFE
HGBL: +7.19% Sector: +2.89% +4.31%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HGBL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-10 09:26:00 $2.78 -6.12% +3.24% +4.25% -2.52% +1.44% +7.19% -7.19% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on HGBL

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HGBL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HGBL Strategy →

Why Analyze HGBL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HGBL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HGBL historically offers an average upside of +7.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HGBL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, HGBL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HGBL performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.24%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.