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HGEN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 227 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-11 → 2023-07-25

📊
227
Total Alerts
🎯
40.1%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.16%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.65%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.1%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +12.18%
Worst: -5.40%
Trades: 91/122

15MIN

Win Rate: 27.2%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +2.60%
Avg Loser: -1.88%
Best: +24.82%
Worst: -8.21%
Trades: 61/154

30MIN

Win Rate: 27.9%
Avg Gain: -0.89%
Avg Winner: +2.69%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +17.40%
Worst: -15.87%
Trades: 63/154

60MIN

Win Rate: 30.4%
Avg Gain: -1.08%
Avg Winner: +2.77%
Avg Loser: -2.84%
Best: +19.14%
Worst: -21.77%
Trades: 68/152

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -1.14%
Avg Winner: +6.11%
Avg Loser: -4.40%
Best: +41.67%
Worst: -34.12%
Trades: 70/156

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.65%
Best MFE: +62.50%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, HGEN alerts reach +4.65% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.91%
Worst MAE: -9.09%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.91%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.44:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.44x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 227 alerts, HGEN typically reaches +4.65% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 227
Gap Up % 44.1%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +8.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HGEN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-07-25 09:25:00 $0.05 +8.21% +24.82% -3.47% -3.65% -34.12% +54.20% -4.01% +6.57% WIN
2023-07-18 09:25:00 $0.19 +0.36% +1.46% +1.98% +0.57% -0.16% +3.65% -1.56% -1.04% WIN
2023-07-14 09:26:00 $0.19 +0.57% -0.57% +1.41% -1.67% -7.58% +2.77% -0.63% +1.88% WIN
2023-07-13 09:29:00 $0.19 +1.86% +1.33% -1.01% -0.80% +3.45% +5.94% -1.17% +0.80% WIN
2023-07-12 09:29:00 $0.19 -0.88% -1.55% -1.50% -3.26% -1.71% -0.21% -4.29% -4.29% LOSS
2023-07-11 09:26:00 $0.18 +0.17% -0.91% -3.24% -3.07% +0.61% +0.61% -5.25% -1.68% WIN
2023-07-06 09:29:00 $0.15 -1.77% -4.25% -2.49% -3.21% -1.57% +1.44% -4.45% -1.18% LOSS
2023-07-03 09:25:00 $0.15 -0.33% -0.20% +0.13% +0.26% -0.20% +2.09% -0.87% -0.20% LOSS
2023-06-29 09:27:00 $0.15 -0.07% -0.66% +0.83% +0.53% +0.93% +2.51% -0.07% +1.92% LOSS
2023-06-28 09:26:00 $0.16 -1.79% -3.68% -2.05% -1.20% -3.36% -0.89% -4.37% -2.28% LOSS
2023-06-23 09:25:00 $0.16 +1.46% -1.71% +0.19% +1.46% -4.19% +7.74% -0.44% +7.74% WIN
2023-06-22 09:27:00 $0.16 -1.84% -4.41% -3.98% -5.21% -5.94% +0.80% +0.80% +0.80% LOSS
2023-06-21 09:28:00 $0.16 +0.12% +0.93% -0.12% - -0.75% +3.04% - +2.24% WIN
2023-06-20 09:29:00 $0.18 +0.39% -1.45% -3.40% -6.35% -7.57% +0.89% -2.12% +0.28% WIN
2023-06-16 09:27:00 $0.19 -3.12% -3.91% -2.19% -10.89% -1.56% +1.41% -0.47% -1.04% LOSS
2023-06-15 09:25:00 $0.16 -1.24% -1.12% -2.05% -1.80% -0.44% +0.50% -0.12% -1.24% LOSS
2023-06-14 09:27:00 $0.16 +4.29% +2.37% +4.67% +3.01% +2.37% +6.85% - +3.71% WIN
2023-06-13 09:29:00 $0.15 - -1.21% -1.95% +0.13% +10.73% +14.29% -2.68% -1.01% -
2023-06-12 09:25:00 $0.15 +0.94% +0.27% +3.63% +2.87% -0.67% +3.63% -1.08% -0.34% WIN
2023-06-05 09:29:00 $0.15 +0.27% - -0.88% - -0.88% +1.35% -1.89% -1.89% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HGEN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.1% win rate and -0.16% average gain, HGEN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HGEN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze HGEN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HGEN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HGEN historically offers an average upside of +4.65% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HGEN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.1%, HGEN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HGEN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HGEN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.16%). This suggests HGEN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.