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Latest signal:

HIBS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 58 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-11 → 2023-08-08

⚠️ Small sample size (58 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bear 3X Shares
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 07, 2019
📊
58
Total Alerts
🎯
82.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+569.98%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.64%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 32.8%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +4.02%
Worst: -3.80%
Trades: 19/37

15MIN

Win Rate: 39.7%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +4.98%
Worst: -3.71%
Trades: 23/35

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.77%
Avg Loser: -2.15%
Best: +5.72%
Worst: -6.14%
Trades: 26/29

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.6%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +2.27%
Avg Loser: -2.60%
Best: +6.10%
Worst: -8.08%
Trades: 27/31

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 82.8%
Avg Gain: +569.98%
Avg Winner: +689.77%
Avg Loser: -6.25%
Best: +975.72%
Worst: -14.05%
Trades: 48/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.64%
Best MFE: +16.72%
Avg Time to MFE: 149 min

On average, HIBS alerts reach +3.64% profit potential within 149 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.53%
Worst MAE: -8.81%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.38:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.38x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 58 alerts, HIBS typically reaches +3.64% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 58
Gap Up % 37.9%
Avg Gap -0.26%
Best Gap +2.62%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HIBS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-08 09:26:00 $3.56 +2.81% +3.14% +3.09% +3.65% +900.00% +4.49% +1.97% +1.97% WIN
2023-08-02 09:27:00 $3.32 +1.51% +1.51% +1.96% +2.26% +948.19% +6.02% +0.30% +0.60% WIN
2023-07-19 09:28:00 $3.14 -0.64% -0.48% - -0.92% - +0.96% -1.27% -0.32% LOSS
2023-07-12 09:29:00 $3.28 - +1.52% +1.68% +1.22% +1.83% +2.74% - - -
2023-06-23 09:25:00 $4.22 +0.24% +0.12% -0.47% -0.50% +892.89% +0.85% -0.42% +0.47% WIN
2023-06-14 09:29:00 $3.84 -1.04% -1.04% - -0.37% +0.78% +3.91% -2.08% +0.26% LOSS
2023-04-27 09:28:00 $5.99 +1.17% +1.84% +1.16% +1.00% -3.51% +1.99% -0.67% +0.17% WIN
2023-04-12 09:26:00 $5.05 +0.99% +2.77% +4.55% +4.95% +8.91% +9.31% +0.40% +0.79% WIN
2023-03-15 09:26:00 $6.12 -0.82% -1.31% +0.41% +0.82% +882.03% +3.27% -2.29% - LOSS
2023-03-14 09:26:00 $5.67 -0.21% -1.32% +0.88% -0.88% +1.76% +5.47% -2.47% +0.71% LOSS
2023-03-13 09:29:00 $6.08 +2.22% +3.78% -0.16% +2.47% +896.71% +4.28% - +1.64% WIN
2023-03-10 09:26:00 $5.42 +0.37% +4.98% +5.72% +3.69% +970.11% +8.86% -2.40% -1.29% WIN
2023-02-24 09:26:00 $5.08 -0.18% -0.20% -0.40% +0.79% +894.09% +1.38% -1.38% -0.20% LOSS
2023-02-22 09:28:00 $4.9 -0.61% -1.53% -0.71% +0.71% - +2.24% -2.45% - LOSS
2023-02-21 09:29:00 $4.73 -1.06% -2.12% -0.21% +1.49% +944.40% +4.63% -2.31% -1.27% LOSS
2023-02-14 09:26:00 $4.39 +1.14% -0.91% -3.39% -5.80% +847.61% +1.59% -0.23% - WIN
2023-02-07 09:27:00 $4.39 -1.14% -1.71% -1.80% +0.23% +829.38% +0.23% -2.87% -1.14% LOSS
2023-02-03 09:25:00 $4.16 +1.20% -1.32% -2.94% -3.73% +900.00% +1.44% +0.72% +1.44% WIN
2023-01-30 09:26:00 $4.95 +0.40% +0.20% -1.01% +0.61% +932.32% +3.23% -1.82% +0.20% WIN
2023-01-26 09:27:00 $4.94 -1.74% -0.40% +2.43% +0.40% -1.42% +3.64% -1.82% -0.81% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 82.8% Baseline on HIBS

The 82.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HIBS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HIBS Strategy →

Why Analyze HIBS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HIBS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HIBS historically offers an average upside of +3.64% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HIBS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 82.8%, HIBS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HIBS performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +569.98%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.