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HIG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2024-12-04

⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE (SIC 6331)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 15, 1995 🔗 www.thehartford.com
💰 Market Cap: $35.87B 👥 Employees: 19,100
The Hartford Insurance Group Inc. provides property and casualty insurance, group benefits, and mutual funds. The company is widely recognized for its service excellence, sustainability practices, trust, and integrity. The Company currently conducts business principally in five reportable segments including Business Insurance, Personal Insurance, Property & Casualty Other Operations, Employee Benefits, and Hartford Funds, as well as a Corporate category. The company generates a majority of its revenue from Business Insurance.
📊
12
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.15%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.36%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: +1.12%
Worst: -0.91%
Trades: 7/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +1.07%
Worst: -1.35%
Trades: 8/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +1.57%
Worst: -1.49%
Trades: 7/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.39%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +2.53%
Worst: -1.84%
Trades: 8/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: +3.43%
Worst: -2.99%
Trades: 7/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.36%
Best MFE: +3.87%
Avg Time to MFE: 147 min

On average, HIG alerts reach +1.36% profit potential within 147 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.42%
Worst MAE: -2.51%
Avg Time to MAE: 22 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, HIG typically reaches +1.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 12
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.22%
Best Gap +2.85%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE

How HIG compares to 22 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HIG: +0.09% Sector: +0.01% +0.08%
EOD Gain
HIG: +0.03% Sector: +58.36% -58.32%
Avg MFE
HIG: +1.36% Sector: +2.97% -1.61%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HIG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-04 09:27:02 $120.0 +0.53% +0.24% +0.33% -0.05% +0.50% +0.82% -0.18% +0.38% WIN
2024-11-25 09:27:16 $120.72 +0.34% +0.56% +0.87% +1.24% +0.66% +1.33% +0.07% +0.27% WIN
2024-10-17 09:25:22 $121.78 +0.03% +0.57% +0.48% +0.89% +0.45% +1.19% -0.52% -0.20% WIN
2024-09-26 09:29:11 $116.8 -0.75% -0.68% -0.38% -0.33% -0.24% +0.46% -0.83% -0.68% LOSS
2024-08-12 09:25:31 $108.41 +0.41% +0.30% -0.37% +0.04% -1.22% +0.58% +0.12% +0.12% WIN
2023-03-14 09:29:00 $67.0 +1.12% +0.91% +1.57% +2.53% +1.84% +2.97% +0.79% +2.85% WIN
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $71.31 -0.91% -1.35% -1.49% -1.67% +0.13% +0.24% -2.51% -0.36% LOSS
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $70.76 +0.28% -0.16% +0.57% +0.23% -0.64% +0.73% -0.45% -0.04% WIN
2022-02-14 09:25:00 $71.81 -0.04% +0.32% -0.88% -1.84% -2.99% +0.42% -0.78% -0.18% LOSS
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $72.96 -0.37% -0.41% -0.23% +0.45% -1.95% +0.59% -0.74% -0.37% LOSS
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $72.65 -0.18% +1.07% +1.07% +1.58% +0.43% +3.11% -0.18% +0.03% LOSS
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $70.35 +0.62% +0.40% +0.76% +1.65% +3.43% +3.87% +0.21% +0.80% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on HIG

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HIG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HIG Strategy →

Why Analyze HIG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HIG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HIG historically offers an average upside of +1.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HIG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, HIG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HIG performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.15%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.