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HII Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-04 → 2022-11-17

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. SHIP & BOAT BUILDING & REPAIRING (SIC 3730)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 22, 2011 🔗 www.huntingtoningalls.com
💰 Market Cap: $16.43B 👥 Employees: 44,000
Huntington Ingalls Industries is the largest independent military shipbuilder in the US, spun out from Northrop Grumman in 2011. It operates three segments, two of which are storied shipyards: Ingalls produces non-nuclear-powered ships including amphibious landing ships and Arleigh Burke-class destroyers, while Newport News produces nuclear-powered ships as the only producer of Gerald Ford-class aircraft carriers and a major subcontractor on Virginia- and Columbia-class nuclear submarines. HII shares production of destroyers and nuclear submarines with General Dynamics' Bath Iron Works and Electric Boat shipyards, respectively. The company's mission technologies segment produces uncrewed sea vessels and provides a range of IT and other services to US government agencies.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+1.83%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+4.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.96%
Avg Winner: +2.37%
Avg Loser: -0.46%
Best: +2.37%
Worst: -0.46%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.83%
Avg Winner: +1.83%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.63%
Worst: +0.02%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.14%
Avg Winner: +3.14%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.81%
Worst: +0.46%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +4.19%
Avg Winner: +8.57%
Avg Loser: -0.20%
Best: +8.57%
Worst: -0.20%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.33%
Avg Winner: +2.33%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.63%
Worst: +0.04%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.53%
Best MFE: +8.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 41 min

On average, HII alerts reach +4.53% profit potential within 41 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.11%
Worst MAE: -0.79%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.11%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

39.72:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 39.72x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, HII typically reaches +4.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.05%
Best Gap +0.59%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SHIP & BOAT BUILDING & REPAIRING

How HII compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HII: +0.96% Sector: +0.64% +0.32%
EOD Gain
HII: +2.33% Sector: +297.55% -295.22%
Avg MFE
HII: +4.53% Sector: +9.15% -4.62%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HII alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-11-17 09:25:00 $223.94 -0.46% +0.02% +0.46% -0.20% +0.04% +0.49% -0.79% -0.49% LOSS
2022-08-04 09:25:00 $218.69 +2.37% +3.63% +5.81% +8.57% +4.63% +8.57% +0.56% +0.59% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on HII

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HII's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HII Strategy →

Why Analyze HII with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HII. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HII historically offers an average upside of +4.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HII Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, HII shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HII performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.83%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.