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HLIT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 18 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2025-02-11

⚠️ Small sample size (18 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 30, 1995 🔗 www.harmonicinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.15B 👥 Employees: 1,147
Harmonic Inc engaged in broadband access solutions that enable broadband operators to more efficiently and effectively deploy high-speed internet for data, voice, and video services for their customers and versatile and high-performance video delivery software, products, system solutions and services that enable its customers to efficiently create, prepare, store, playout and deliver a full range of high-quality broadcast and streaming video services to consumer devices, including televisions, personal computers, laptops, tablets, and smartphones. It has two segments, Broadband which provides broadband access solutions and related services, and Others; and Video business provides video processing and production and playout solutions and services, and Others.
📊
18
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.11%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.69%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -1.11%
Avg Winner: +1.70%
Avg Loser: -3.72%
Best: +8.42%
Worst: -9.04%
Trades: 8/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.60%
Avg Winner: +3.67%
Avg Loser: -2.73%
Best: +14.53%
Worst: -8.08%
Trades: 6/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 38.9%
Avg Gain: -0.74%
Avg Winner: +3.96%
Avg Loser: -3.72%
Best: +17.19%
Worst: -8.57%
Trades: 7/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.73%
Avg Winner: +4.19%
Avg Loser: -3.20%
Best: +15.72%
Worst: -8.08%
Trades: 6/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.73%
Avg Winner: +3.49%
Avg Loser: -4.34%
Best: +11.74%
Worst: -9.36%
Trades: 6/12

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.69%
Best MFE: +18.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 76 min

On average, HLIT alerts reach +1.69% profit potential within 76 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.13%
Worst MAE: -12.21%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.13%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.79:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, HLIT typically reaches +1.69% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 18
Gap Up % 27.8%
Avg Gap -1.32%
Best Gap +1.20%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

How HLIT compares to 14 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HLIT: -1.11% Sector: -0.25% -0.85%
EOD Gain
HLIT: -1.73% Sector: +37.08% -38.81%
Avg MFE
HLIT: +1.69% Sector: +4.58% -2.89%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HLIT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:27:43 $8.43 +8.42% +14.53% +17.19% +15.72% +11.74% +18.51% -0.24% +0.71% WIN
2024-10-29 09:25:41 $11.83 -9.04% -2.54% -5.41% -4.82% -6.17% -2.20% -12.21% -7.61% LOSS
2024-04-30 09:29:58 $11.74 -4.77% -5.41% -6.30% -5.37% -8.52% +3.15% -0.47% +0.94% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:28:06 $10.15 -8.87% -8.08% -8.57% -8.08% -9.36% -7.83% -9.26% -8.57% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:25:42 $11.13 +0.45% -0.36% -1.53% -1.26% -1.71% +1.66% -1.08% -0.27% WIN
2024-04-03 09:27:47 $12.91 +1.01% +1.32% +1.47% +1.98% +3.02% +3.68% -0.93% -0.93% WIN
2024-03-27 09:25:09 $13.29 -0.60% -0.49% +0.04% +1.50% +1.73% +1.88% -1.05% -0.98% LOSS
2024-03-18 09:29:20 $12.55 +0.08% -0.72% -0.56% -0.92% -1.20% +0.16% -0.80% -0.80% WIN
2024-03-08 09:25:27 $12.93 +0.54% +0.81% +2.05% +1.78% +1.01% +2.24% +0.39% +1.01% WIN
2024-02-27 09:27:12 $13.31 +0.38% +0.04% -0.30% -1.05% -1.13% +0.68% -0.45% +0.68% WIN
2023-09-05 09:28:00 $10.7 -2.06% -3.04% -4.25% -4.16% -3.83% -0.84% -1.68% -0.84% LOSS
2023-08-17 09:25:00 $10.0 +1.60% +2.65% +2.60% +1.88% +2.00% +3.60% +1.20% +1.20% WIN
2023-08-15 09:26:00 $10.98 -3.73% -4.28% -5.15% -4.92% -5.65% -2.09% -2.91% -2.73% LOSS
2023-08-09 09:29:00 $10.25 - -0.59% +0.34% -1.37% -1.27% +0.59% -0.98% -0.59% -
2023-08-01 09:25:00 $11.8 -0.64% -1.95% -1.27% -0.38% -1.44% +1.78% -2.54% -2.20% LOSS
2023-01-31 09:28:00 $12.98 +1.12% +2.70% +4.01% +2.31% +1.46% +6.24% -1.00% -0.23% WIN
2022-11-11 09:25:00 $13.8 -2.39% -3.55% -3.84% -2.54% -5.36% -1.23% -2.39% -1.96% LOSS
2022-02-01 09:25:00 $9.85 -1.42% -1.83% -3.76% -3.50% -6.40% +0.51% -1.93% -0.51% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HLIT Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.4% win rate and -1.11% average gain, HLIT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HLIT for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze HLIT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HLIT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HLIT historically offers an average upside of +1.69% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HLIT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, HLIT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HLIT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HLIT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.11%). This suggests HLIT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.