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HLN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 153 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-25 → 2025-01-30

🏢 Company Profile

Haleon plc American Depositary Shares (Each representing two Ordinary Shares)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 18, 2022 🔗 www.haleon.com
💰 Market Cap: $46.18B 👥 Employees: 24,622
Haleon is one of the largest consumer health companies in the world. Formed by a combination of consumer health divisions of GSK, Pfizer, and Novartis, Haleon separated from GSK and went public in July 2022. The firm generates 60% of sales from global power brands including Sensodyne, Advil, Centrum, and Poligrip, that play in many geographies and are often leaders in their respective categories. It also has a number of local brands, including Emergen-C, Eno, Tums, and Caltrate, that are more tailored to regional needs and have strong local brand equity. Overall, Haleon's brands tackle a variety of silos within consumer health including oral care, digestive health, pain relief, and nutrition.
📊
153
Total Alerts
🎯
54.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.02%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.10%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.9%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.23%
Avg Loser: -0.26%
Best: +1.02%
Worst: -2.12%
Trades: 61/70

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.31%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +1.53%
Worst: -2.13%
Trades: 68/70

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.1%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.47%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +2.04%
Worst: -2.15%
Trades: 69/75

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.2%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +2.75%
Worst: -3.27%
Trades: 83/67

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +3.58%
Worst: -6.47%
Trades: 81/62

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.10%
Best MFE: +4.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 162 min

On average, HLN alerts reach +1.10% profit potential within 162 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.42%
Worst MAE: -2.52%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.61:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.61x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 153 alerts, HLN typically reaches +1.10% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 153
Gap Up % 25.5%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +0.64%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HLN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-30 09:27:54 $9.45 +0.32% +0.05% +0.06% +0.26% +1.27% +1.80% -0.32% +0.21% WIN
2025-01-23 09:28:30 $9.34 - -0.21% -0.12% +0.16% +0.54% +0.75% -0.27% -0.21% -
2025-01-17 09:28:21 $9.19 +0.27% +0.27% +0.65% +1.09% +0.54% +1.41% - - WIN
2025-01-16 09:27:15 $9.11 - +0.14% -0.05% +0.38% +0.88% +1.43% -0.16% - -
2025-01-15 09:25:59 $9.21 -0.27% -0.22% -0.60% -0.65% -1.09% -0.05% -0.33% -0.11% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:29:28 $9.06 +0.06% +0.11% +0.22% -0.10% +0.44% +0.66% -0.44% +0.11% WIN
2024-12-12 09:29:33 $9.79 - +0.36% +0.36% -0.05% -0.61% +0.51% -0.20% -0.10% -
2024-12-11 09:28:22 $9.74 -0.10% +0.26% +0.26% +0.77% +0.31% +1.23% -0.21% -0.10% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:28:17 $9.68 +0.10% +0.15% +0.21% +0.41% +0.10% +0.83% - +0.31% WIN
2024-12-03 09:25:11 $9.74 - -0.36% -0.31% -0.46% -0.31% +0.10% -0.62% - -
2024-11-06 09:26:13 $9.6 -0.57% -0.61% -1.09% -0.82% -0.62% -0.10% -1.15% -0.31% LOSS
2024-10-07 09:26:29 $10.0 +0.05% -0.05% +0.10% +0.10% +0.30% +0.60% -0.60% -0.10% WIN
2024-10-02 09:26:17 $10.57 -0.14% -0.43% -0.43% -0.52% -0.28% +0.09% -0.19% -0.09% LOSS
2024-10-01 09:26:54 $10.66 -0.19% - +0.14% +0.05% +0.28% +0.73% -0.66% -0.09% LOSS
2024-08-29 09:27:06 $10.02 +0.10% +0.01% +0.05% +0.30% +0.70% +0.80% -0.10% - WIN
2024-08-09 09:27:43 $9.73 -0.15% -0.15% +0.15% +0.33% +0.82% +1.03% -0.26% - LOSS
2024-07-26 09:27:47 $9.15 +0.11% +0.16% +0.38% +0.55% +0.87% +1.42% -0.16% - WIN
2024-05-14 09:27:54 $8.32 -0.12% -0.30% -0.48% -0.36% - +0.12% -0.78% -0.24% LOSS
2024-04-24 09:25:40 $8.42 -0.07% -0.30% -0.53% -0.65% -0.83% - - -0.12% LOSS
2024-04-12 09:29:25 $8.17 -0.24% -0.21% -0.49% -0.55% -1.96% - -0.37% -0.37% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.2% Baseline on HLN

The 54.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HLN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HLN Strategy →

Why Analyze HLN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HLN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HLN historically offers an average upside of +1.10% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HLN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.2%, HLN shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HLN performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.