Latest signal:
HMY Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 383 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, HMY alerts reach +2.15% profit potential within 112 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.85%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.53x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 383 alerts, HMY typically reaches +2.15% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical HMY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:28:55 | $11.75 | -0.60% | -0.89% | -0.68% | -1.66% | -2.81% | +0.60% | -0.17% | +0.17% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:25:07 | $11.86 | -1.05% | -1.10% | -0.97% | -0.63% | +0.67% | +0.76% | -1.73% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:28:15 | $11.84 | +0.04% | -0.42% | -0.68% | -0.55% | +0.34% | +1.86% | -1.77% | +0.59% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:26:10 | $12.08 | -0.17% | -0.22% | +0.04% | +1.20% | +0.17% | +2.57% | -0.54% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:28:43 | $11.98 | -1.09% | -0.54% | -1.29% | -1.21% | +1.34% | +1.34% | -1.84% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:27:34 | $11.92 | +0.13% | +0.04% | +0.29% | +0.96% | -0.25% | +1.85% | -0.17% | +0.08% | WIN |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:25:03 | $11.81 | +0.08% | -0.68% | -0.47% | +0.68% | +0.34% | +1.02% | -0.89% | -0.25% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:25:28 | $11.63 | -0.60% | -0.56% | +0.30% | -0.21% | +1.46% | +3.18% | -1.07% | +0.09% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:29:24 | $11.45 | -0.92% | -0.61% | -0.13% | -0.17% | -1.57% | +0.70% | -1.35% | -0.61% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:26:40 | $11.25 | -0.80% | -0.36% | -0.22% | +1.06% | +0.89% | +1.69% | -1.07% | -0.09% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:25:08 | $10.8 | -0.28% | +1.39% | +2.04% | +1.85% | +0.93% | +2.41% | -0.60% | -0.46% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:26:29 | $10.74 | -0.47% | -0.74% | -1.72% | -2.10% | -0.65% | +0.47% | -0.14% | +0.09% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:26:10 | $10.71 | -0.61% | +0.09% | +0.28% | -0.70% | -1.77% | +0.37% | -0.98% | -0.19% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:28:27 | $10.83 | -0.37% | -0.23% | -0.65% | +0.14% | +0.37% | +1.15% | -0.83% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:29:45 | $10.38 | -0.10% | -0.43% | +0.24% | +0.53% | +0.77% | +1.30% | -0.92% | -0.19% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:28:18 | $10.57 | -1.14% | -0.90% | -0.47% | -0.14% | -1.14% | +0.56% | -1.89% | -0.09% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:28:55 | $10.17 | +0.10% | +0.59% | +0.93% | +1.97% | +0.29% | +2.06% | -0.49% | -0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:26:17 | $9.68 | -0.57% | +0.31% | +0.93% | +1.05% | +0.93% | +1.96% | -1.03% | +0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:26:48 | $9.87 | -1.98% | -1.11% | -1.17% | -1.67% | -4.15% | +0.20% | - | -0.71% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:25:11 | $9.85 | -1.50% | -1.65% | -2.64% | -3.55% | -3.05% | -0.20% | -0.20% | -0.61% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ HMY Shows Negative Expectancy
With 48.2% win rate and -0.02% average gain, HMY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HMY for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze HMY with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HMY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, HMY historically offers an average upside of +2.15% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 HMY Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 48.2%, HMY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HMY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: HMY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.02%). This suggests HMY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.